Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Armenia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Deportes Quindío		Orsomarso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.45	5.3	Watch
	1.62	3.57	6.01
	1.63	3.51	5.84	Watch
	1.62	3.2	5.5
	1.62	3.6	5.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	5.68 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Quindío
57%

Draw
26.7%

Orsomarso
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

27.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

27%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Quindío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Deportes Quindío - Orsomarso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pabon S. (G) 29. Angulo Satizabal R. 10. Javier Reina 7. Lloreda J. 15. Mosquera F. 22. Payares M. 5. Roa S. 14. Rodrigo Moran L. 9. Rodriguez J. 17. Sandoval J. 16. Torres Y.	1. Arango H. (G) 6. Agamez S. 9. Arrechea S. 13. Barreiro J. 5. Barrios D. 7. Girado S. 20. Gomez L. 4. Lasso M. 14. Martinez E. 10. Ruiz A. 8. Zarante
Substitutes
18. Arango W. 25. Carabali R. A. F. 11. Chala J. 21. Cordoba J. 23. Esterilla E. 24. Ibarguen J. 4. Landazury H. 2. Rovira U. 30. Silva J. (G)	12. Grisales J. (G) 17. Hernandez J. 23. Parra J. 3. Salinas J. 18. Valoyes Y. 25. Villareal A. 31. Villarreal J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Girado S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gomez L. ↓, Salinas J. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Lloreda J. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Barreiro J. ⚽,
59', Ruiz A. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
64', Rodriguez J. ↓, Arango W. ↑,
64', Angulo Satizabal R. ↓, Carabali R. A. F. ↑,
66', Girado S. ↓, Parra J. ↑,
74', Agamez S. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Carabali R. A. F. ⚽,
83', Zarante ↓, Villareal A. ↑,
83', Arrechea S. ↓, Valoyes Y. ↑,
84', Mosquera F. ↓, Esterilla E. ↑,
88', Rodrigo Moran L. ↓, Rovira U. ↑,
88', Lloreda J. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
90', Lasso M. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Quindío won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Deportes Quindío is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Quindío won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Quindío won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Quindio	11	4	4	3	9:8	1	16
14	Orsomarso	11	2	4	5	7:11	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Quindío
Colombian Primera B
20.03.26	Bogotá - Deportes Quindío	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Deportes Quindío - Real Cundinamarca	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Patriotas - Deportes Quindío	0:0 ✺
05.03.26	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Unión Magdalena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTWL
- Orsomarso SC
Colombian Primera B
21.03.26	Orsomarso - Independiente Valle del Cauca	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Orsomarso - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Atlético Cali - Orsomarso	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Orsomarso - Envigado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
19.10.25	Orsomarso - Deportes Quindío	2:3
13.05.25	Deportes Quindío - Orsomarso	0:0
18.11.24	Deportes Quindío - Orsomarso	0:2
04.11.24	Orsomarso - Deportes Quindío	0:0
22.08.24	Orsomarso - Deportes Quindío	0:1
02.03.24	Deportes Quindío - Orsomarso	1:1
02.10.23	Deportes Quindío - Orsomarso	0:1

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