Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata (Barrancabermeja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Orsomarso		Independiente Valle del Cauca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	2.85	2.45
	2.78	2.88	2.58	Watch
	2.91	2.92	2.71
	2.89	2.8	2.73	Watch
	2.75	2.7	2.5
	2.81	3.01	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.52)	2.86 ↓ (3.14)	2.6 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orsomarso
32.6%

Draw
32.1%

Independiente Valle del Cauca
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

29.6%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

30.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Independiente Valle del Cauca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orsomarso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Valle del Cauca than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Orsomarso - Independiente Valle del Cauca Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ind Valle del Cauca will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arango H. (G) 6. Agamez S. 9. Arrechea S. 13. Barreiro J. 5. Barrios D. 7. Girado S. 4. Lasso M. 14. Martinez E. 20. Palomino F. 10. Ruiz A. 8. Zarante	22. Mendez J. (G) 27. Ampudia J. 8. Diaz T. 11. Farias L. 3. Ferrer D. 9. Garcia A. 7. Hernandez S. 6. Mejia A. 24. Palacios J. 15. Perdomo J. 32. Rubiano J.
Substitutes
26. Gonzalez S. 12. Grisales J. (G) 17. Hernandez J. 21. Lourido D. 22. Matamba D. 23. Parra J. 3. Salinas J. 18. Valoyes Y. 25. Villareal A.	34. De Arco H. 5. Diaz J. 12. Mena L. (G) 31. Murillo J. 14. Ordonez J. 4. Rodriguez J. 19. Sequeda Arroyo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Barrios D. ⚽,
73', 🟨,
75', 2 - 0, Martinez E. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Orsomarso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Independiente Yumbo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ind. Valle del Cauca	11	7	2	2	15:6	9	23
14	Orsomarso	11	2	4	5	7:11	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orsomarso SC
Colombian Primera B
15.03.26	Orsomarso - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Atlético Cali - Orsomarso	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Orsomarso - Envigado	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Real Cundinamarca - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLLL
- Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombian Primera B
16.03.26	Internacional de Palmira - Independiente Valle del Cauca	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Bogotá	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Leones - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Santander	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTWT

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