#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Deportes Recoleta 38.5%
Draw 29%
Rangers de Talca 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
27.4%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
25.6%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Recoleta's form might have worsened.
Rangers de Talca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rangers de Talca's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Recoleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rangers de Talca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Deportes Recoleta - Rangers de Talca Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Rangers will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Vargas J. (G) 16. Viveros B. 4. Tomarelli F. 14. Lara I. 7. Provoste B. 11. Viveros D. 21. Alvarez G. 6. Espinoza J. 9. Estigarribia G. (C) 20. Gonzalez C. 19. Sanchez P.
17. Campestrini C. (G) 13. Mora A. 27. Servetti C. 16. Rigazzi L. 3. Vasquez K. 19. Gonzalez D. 8. Marquez A. (C) 10. Rozas I. 24. Gomez T. 9. Arias J. 39. Mesias Gonzalez I. S.
Substitutes
10. Arguinarena M. 17. Carvajal N. 18. Cepeda C. 27. Flores F. 8. Martin F. 33. Riveros R. 23. Salazar A. (G)
14. Acuna S. 37. Castro M. 25. Cerda F. (G) 4. Navarrete J. 22. Plaza D. 18. Rodriguez A. 11. Vicuna M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Gonzalez C. ⚽,
25', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Sanchez P. 🟨,
43', Viveros D. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Arias J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Gonzalez D. ↓, Navarrete J. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Estigarribia G. ⚽,
60', Gonzalez C. ↓, Carvajal N. ↑,
60', Sanchez P. ↓, Riveros R. ↑,
60', Espinoza J. ↓, Martin F. ↑,
61', Provoste B. 🟨,
63', 2 - 2, Rigazzi L. ⚽,
63', Gomez T. ↓, Plaza D. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Alvarez G. ⚽,
83', Campestrini C. 🟨,
83', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↓, Vicuna M. ↑,
83', Rozas I. ↓, Acuna S. ↑,
83', Provoste B. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
83', Viveros B. ↓, Cepeda C. ↑,
90+2', Carvajal N. 🟨,
90+6', 4 - 2, Flores F. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Recoleta has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).