The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión San Felipe 30.2%
Draw 28.7%
Deportes Recoleta 41.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
30%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
29.4%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión San Felipe's form might have worsened.
Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Recoleta's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión San Felipe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión San Felipe - Deportes Recoleta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Canete L. (G) 4. Ramirez M. 34. Suarez C. (C) 2. Perales V. 5. Bravo D. 24. Galleguillos M. 27. Garcia L. 8. Palmieri N. 9. Aravena B. 18. Munoz P. 14. Riveros B.
22. Vargas J. (G) 28. Rodriguez C. 5. Alarcon F. (C) 16. Viveros B. 14. Lara I. 33. Riveros R. 7. Provoste B. 6. Espinoza J. 20. Gonzalez C. 19. Sanchez P. 9. Estigarribia G.
Substitutes
21. Brun N. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 20. Fontana A. 16. Fuentes D. 33. Gonzalez B. 32. Lobos F. 29. Martinez L.
21. Alvarez G. 17. Carvajal N. 18. Cepeda C. 27. Flores F. 8. Martin F. 23. Salazar A. (G) 11. Viveros D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Perales V. 🟨,
59', Alarcon F. 🟨,
60', Espinoza J. ↓, Martin F. ↑,
61', Munoz P. ↓, Fontana A. ↑,
62', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
66', Galleguillos M. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
74', Rodriguez C. ↓, Viveros D. ↑,
74', Riveros R. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
77', Fontana A. 🟨,
80', Aravena B. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
82', Gonzalez B. 🟨,
87', Sanchez P. 🟨,
90+1', Provoste B. 🟨,
90+1', Provoste B. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 0.
Unión San Felipe has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Recoleta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).