Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 4

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua)


	OHiggins		Deportes Recoleta

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.20	4.75
	1.52	4.00	4.80
	1.52	4.00	4.90
	1.62	4.10	5.29
	1.68	3.76	4.65	Watch
	1.59	3.65	5.20
	1.58	4.29	4.86
	1.55	4.00	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.45)	4 ↓ (4.53)	4.91 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OHiggins
58.3%

Draw
23%

Deportes Recoleta
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

20.2%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

18.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

OHiggins - Deportes Recoleta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pena Jorge (G) 3. Faundez F. 21. Garrido N. (C) 27. Movillo J. 20. Diaz L. 5. Pinto G. 14. Maturana M. 8. Felipe Ogaz 30. Tapia J. 32. Vecino T. 29. Yanez B.	23. Salazar A. (G) 11. Viveros D. 4. Tomarelli F. 16. Viveros B. 14. Lara I. 15. Baez F. 21. Alvarez G. 17. Carvajal N. (C) 10. Arguinarena M. 12. Sapiain J. 32. Valenzuela T.
Substitutes
16. Calderon E. 31. Carabali O. (G) 26. Godoy R. 24. Gonzalez F. 11. Leiva J. 2. Morales C. 18. Moreira E. 13. Munoz J. 6. Pavez L.	5. Alarcon F. 18. Cepeda C. 25. Esparza M. 27. Flores F. 26. Fuentes B. 13. Narr J. (G) 7. Provoste B. 33. Riveros R. 28. Rodriguez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Vecino T. 🟨,
42', Faundez F. 🟨,
44', Sapiain J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Viveros B. ↓, Alarcon F. ↑,
46', Sapiain J. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
46', Pinto G. ↓, Calderon E. ↑,
46', Arguinarena M. 🟨,
56', Tapia J. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
72', Alvarez G. ↓, Riveros R. ↑,
72', Tomarelli F. ↓, Cepeda C. ↑,
76', Yanez B. ↓, Godoy R. ↑,
76', Vecino T. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
79', Arguinarena M. ↓, Provoste B. ↑,
85', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
85', Maturana M. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Flores F. ⚽, Carvajal N. (A),
89', Calderon E. 🟨,
90+1', Cepeda C. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Moreira E. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
90+8', Diaz L. 🟨,

Preview

OHiggins has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Recoleta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, OHiggins is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OHiggins
Chilean Cup
25.06.26	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	OHiggins - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
18.06.26	Universidad de Chile - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Coquimbo Unido - OHiggins	0:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
07.06.26	OHiggins - Palestino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLTW
- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Cup
20.06.26	Deportes Recoleta - Colo-Colo	0:3 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
06.06.26	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Recoleta	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Deportes Recoleta - San Luis de Quillota	0:0 ✺
21.05.26	Deportes Recoleta - Cobreloa	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Recoleta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTTL

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