Match Info

CHILE: Liga de Ascenso - Round 4

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García (Santa Cruz)


	Deportes Santa Cruz		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.85
	2.49	3.5	2.55
	2	3.56	3.01
	2.61	3.54	2.5	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.5
	2.77	3.45	2.39
	2.49	3.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.03)	3.46 ↑ (3.18)	2.62 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Santa Cruz
38.2%

Draw
26.6%

Deportes Concepción
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Santa Cruz's form might have worsened.

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Concepción's recent form is better than expected.

Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Dobboletta J. (G) 16. Rodriguez G. 3. Pino Villalon J. 6. Munoz L. 25. Castillo C. 14. Urzua D. 24. Maturana M. 9. Valdez A. 11. Harbottle K. (C) 19. Alegre M. 7. Rivera Faundez N. A.	1. Munoz J. (G) 3. Carrasco D. 5. Silva S. (C) 13. Cornejo F. 22. L’Huillier N. 10. Nunez F. 6. Astete N. 11. Valdivia B. 14. Martinez S. 4. Caceres A. 32. Larrivey J.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez B. 1. Carreno D. (G) 8. Carreno J. 30. Moreno C. 20. Pardo C. 10. Recabal M.	25. Araya N. (G) 9. Escobar C. 17. Fernandez C. 7. Gillard A. 23. Ojeda U. 18. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 27. Sepulveda N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Maturana M. 🟨,
27', Larrivey J. 🟨,
27', Pino Villalon J. 🟨,
39', Martinez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Maturana M. ⚽,
56', 2 - 0, Alegre M. ⚽,
57', Valdivia B. ↓, Ojeda U. ↑,
57', Nunez F. ↓, Gillard A. ↑,
73', Cornejo F. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
75', Harbottle K. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,
76', Maturana M. ↓, Carreno J. ↑,
80', L’Huillier N. ↓, Saavedra Saavedra F. I. ↑,
80', Martinez S. ↓, Sepulveda N. ↑,
90', Castillo C. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
90+1', Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 🟨,
90+9', Sepulveda N. 🟥,

Preview

Deportes Santa Cruz is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deportes Santa Cruz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Deportes Santa Cruz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Santa Cruz
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
09.03.25	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
28.02.25	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Santa Cruz	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Deportes Santa Cruz - Rangers de Talca	0:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
15.02.25	Deportes Santa Cruz - Universidad de Concepción	0:3 ✺
08.02.25	Ñublense - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLLLT
- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
09.03.25	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Recoleta	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Concepción	3:1 ✺
21.02.25	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Temuco	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.02.25	Deportes Concepción - Universidad de Concepción	1:0 ✺
Chilean Segunda Division
31.10.24	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Concepción	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTWL

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