The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Recoleta 35.3%
Draw 30.1%
Deportes Santa Cruz 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.7%
29.8%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
29%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Deportes Santa Cruz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Salazar A. (G) 4. Tomarelli F. 14. Lara I. 16. Viveros B. 28. Rodriguez C. 6. Espinoza J. 7. Provoste B. 15. Baez F. 9. Estigarribia G. (C) 19. Sanchez P. 21. Alvarez G.
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 2. Quiroz I. 5. Camisassa B. 20. Cavero H. 31. Romero N. 4. Alucema G. 10. Mederos S. 14. Plaza D. 11. Pinto M. 23. Barrios N. 30. Arias D.
Substitutes
10. Arguinarena M. 17. Carvajal N. 18. Cepeda C. 20. Gonzalez C. 12. Sapiain J. 22. Vargas J. (G) 11. Viveros D.
8. Acevedo D. 12. Alvarado F. 18. Herrera H. 26. Moreno C. 28. Quezada M. 22. Tati D. 9. Zeineddin N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Alvarez G. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Camisassa B. (Own goal),
30', Alucema G. 🟨,
35', Camisassa B. 🟨,
44', Plaza D. 🟨,
45+2', Romero N. ↓, Alvarado F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tomarelli F. ↓, Cepeda C. ↑,
46', Mederos S. ↓, Acevedo D. ↑,
55', Alucema G. 🟨,
57', Barrios N. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
61', Alvarez G. ↓, Arguinarena M. ↑,
61', Provoste B. ↓, Carvajal N. ↑,
63', Baez F. 🟨,
69', Estigarribia G. 🟨,
69', Rodriguez C. ↓, Viveros D. ↑,
72', Pinto M. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
72', Quiroz I. ↓, Tati D. ↑,
81', Zeineddin N. 🟨,
86', Baez F. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
90+3', Salazar A. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 3.
Recent performances by Recoleta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportes Santa Cruz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Recoleta
26
11
8
7
38:34
4
41
14
CD Santa Cruz
26
4
10
12
27:40
-13
22
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Recoleta - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.71%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.