Match Info

Liga de Primera - Relegation - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Regional de Antofagasta (Antofagasta)


	Deportes Antofagasta		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.52
	2.17	3.26	3.22	Watch
	2.43	3.67	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.22)	3.44 ↑ (3.18)	2.78 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportes Antofagasta
39.6%

Draw
27%

Deportes Concepción
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Antofagasta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hurtado Perez F. (C) 33. Abuhadba Z. 5. Astorga R. 2. Berardo N. 32. Figueroa T. 26. Hinojosa S. 9. Hurtado B. 3. Maluenda M. 21. Manzano F. 18. Salas C. 10. Souper A.	25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 3. Carrasco D. 24. Espinola J. 7. Gillard A. 32. Larrivey J. 19. Ovalle J. 16. Sandoval M. 27. Sepulveda N. 5. Silva S. 11. Valdivia B.
Substitutes
15. Baez F. 11. Bandez J. D. 1. Cisternas J. (G) 6. Diaz C. 23. Fredes M. 30. Jara I. 17. Nieto B.	6. Astete N. 9. Escobar C. 26. Morales C. 1. Munoz J. (G) 10. Nunez F. 23. Ojeda U. 2. Ramirez M.
Coaches
Marcoleta L.	Almendra P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Souper A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ovalle J. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
47', Hurtado B. 🟨,
48', 0 - 1, Larrivey J. ⚽,
50', Maluenda M. 🟨,
57', Hinojosa S. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
57', Salas C. ↓, Nieto B. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Souper A. ⚽,
68', Valdivia B. ↓, Astete N. ↑,
68', Hurtado B. ↓, Bandez J. D. ↑,
72', Maluenda M. ↓, Fredes M. ↑,
79', Sandoval M. ↓, Ojeda U. ↑,
87', Gillard A. 🟨,
90+1', Larrivey J. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
90+1', Gillard A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
90+2', Carrasco D. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Antofagasta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Antofagasta - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.54%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Antofagasta
Chilean Primera Division
18.11.25	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.11.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad de Concepción	3:0 ✺
13.10.25	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWL
- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
18.11.25	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.10.25	Deportes Concepción - Unión San Felipe	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Concepción	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Deportes Concepción - San Luis de Quillota	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Concepción	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
18.11.25	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.07.25	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta	0:0
02.03.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Concepción	3:1

Upcoming Matches