Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 1

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna (Santiago de Chile)


	Palestino		Ñublense

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.35	3.55	Watch
	2.06	3.41	3.8
	2	3.39	3.71	Watch
	2	3.1	3.5
	1.97	3.34	3.75	Watch
	2	3.4	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.61)	3.33 ↓ (3.77)	3.67 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
46.6%

Draw
28%

Ñublense
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.2%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palestino's form might have worsened.

Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ñublense's recent form is better than expected.

Palestino - Ñublense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 16. Bizama J. 5. Fernandez J. 6. Meza F. 11. Benitez J. 18. Gallegos S. 28. Zuniga D. 14. Abrigo J. 9. Fernandez R. 7. Carrasco B. (C)	1. Perez N. (G) 16. Sanhueza D. 4. Bosso Torres O. 6. Calderon P. 14. Campusano J. 21. Reyes L. 11. Molina Canto L. 8. Graciani G. 10. Plaza M. 28. Rivera M. 20. Jeraldino I.
Substitutes
4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 19. Da Silva N. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 23. Leon J. 8. Meza N. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 1. Salas S. (G) 24. Salgado D. 20. Tapia Paez G.	18. Cespedes D. 25. Munoz H. (G) 7. Ovelar F. 9. Rami F. 13. Saavedra D. 3. Salomon C. 19. Tapia I. 22. Valdes A. 15. Valencia S.
Coaches
Munoz C.	Ribera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Plaza M. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Fernandez R. ⚽, Abrigo J. (A),
39', Benitez J. 🟨,
45+3', Calderon P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Abrigo J. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
57', Benitez J. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
58', Graciani G. ↓, Tapia I. ↑,
58', Molina Canto L. ↓, Rami F. ↑,
59', Rivera M. ↓, Cespedes D. ↑,
72', Meza N. 🟨,
74', 1 - 1, Jeraldino I. (Penalty Awarded),
77', Jeraldino I. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
79', Fernandez R. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
80', Carrasco B. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
82', Plaza M. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
85', Rami F. 🟨,
90+6', Meza F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 2.

Palestino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.4:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Palestino	23	11	3	9	36:33	3	36
8	Nublense	23	8	8	7	28:31	-3	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
05.12.25	Palestino - Huachipato	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Deportes La Serena - Palestino	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Universidad Católica - Palestino	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Palestino - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Palestino - Deportes Limache	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLW
- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
07.12.25	Ñublense - Cobresal	5:0 ✺
01.12.25	Audax Italiano - Ñublense	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	Ñublense - Huachipato	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	OHiggins - Ñublense	4:2 ✺
01.11.25	Ñublense - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
16.08.25	Ñublense - Palestino	1:0
16.03.25	Palestino - Ñublense	2:0
01.09.24	Palestino - Ñublense	1:1
14.04.24	Ñublense - Palestino	0:2
11.11.23	Ñublense - Palestino	1:1
29.04.23	Palestino - Ñublense	1:2
10.09.22	Ñublense - Palestino	2:0

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