Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 25

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Dragones Toluca		Deportiva Venados

	1	X	2
	3.83	5.03	1.55
	4.12	4.94	1.56	Watch
	4.8	3.9	1.53
	5.12	4.25	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↓ (4.84)	4.53 ↑ (4.26)	1.53 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dragones Toluca
20.4%

Draw
20.1%

Deportiva Venados
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

21.1%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

20.6%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dragones Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Deportiva Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dragones Toluca than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportiva Venados than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Dragones Toluca - Deportiva Venados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Dragones Toluca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportiva Venados is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportiva Venados may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dragones Toluca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dragones Toluca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.26	Neza - Dragones Toluca	1:4 ✺
07.03.26	Dragones Toluca - Cañoneros Marina	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Dragones Toluca	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Dragones Toluca - Jaguares de Chiapas	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Montañeses - Dragones Toluca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL
- Deportiva Venados
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.03.26	Deportiva Venados - Cañoneros Marina	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Deportiva Venados	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Deportiva Venados - Jaguares de Chiapas	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	Montañeses - Deportiva Venados	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Deportiva Venados - Inter Playa Del Carmen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.11.25	Deportiva Venados - Dragones Toluca	8:1

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