Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 25

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Tritones Vallarta		Los Cabos United

	1	X	2
	1.59	3.83	4.62
	1.6	3.97	4.78	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.56	3.8	5.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.55)	3.78 ↓ (4.1)	4.87 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tritones Vallarta
57.3%

Draw
24.1%

Los Cabos United
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

22.4%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

22.4%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tritones Vallarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Los Cabos United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Cabos United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Tritones Vallarta - Los Cabos United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tritones Vallarta won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Los Cabos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tritones Vallarta is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tritones Vallarta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tritones Vallarta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.03.26	Tigres de Álica - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Tuzos UAZ - Tritones Vallarta	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Tritones Vallarta - Tecos FC	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Tritones Vallarta - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWWL
- Los Cabos United
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.03.26	Los Cabos United - Tuzos UAZ	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Los Cabos United - Mineros de Fresnillo	3:2 ✺
27.02.26	Cimarrones de Sonora - Los Cabos United	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Zapotlanejo - Los Cabos United	4:2 ✺
31.01.26	La Piedad - Los Cabos United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.11.25	Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta	4:1
28.10.24	Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta	2:1
30.03.24	Tritones Vallarta - Los Cabos United	3:2
28.10.23	Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta	1:0
18.02.23	Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta	0:0
28.09.22	Tritones Vallarta - Los Cabos United	1:1

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