Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 32

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Riazor (La Coruña)

Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Deportivo A Coruña		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	10	Watch
	1.26	5.25	10
	1.34	4.7	9	Watch
	1.32	5.04	9.6
	1.34	4.82	10.56	Watch
	1.35	4.6	9.5
	1.36	4.56	9.74	Watch
	1.34	4.7	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.52)	4.77 ↑ (4.03)	9.68 ↑ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
70.6%

Draw
19.7%

Cartagena
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

23.2%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

22.6%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo A Coruña's performance.

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cartagena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo A Coruña that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartagena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Deportivo A Coruña - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo A Coruña will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Leite H. (G) 6. Petxa A. 15. Vazquez P. 4. Martinez P. 23. Navarro X. 8. Villares D. 20. Jurado J. 7. Gomez D. 21. Soriano M. 10. Hernandez Y. 3. Eddahchouri Z.	40. Fuidias T. (G) 19. Aguirregabiria M. 28. Hernandez J. 22. Olivas K. 20. Nacho 33. El Jebari S. 18. Musto D. 5. Ndiaye Dione A. 17. Andy 10. Escriche D. 9. Ortuno A.
Substitutes
9. Barbero I. 24. Bouldini M. 29. Fernandez S. 2. Genreau D. 14. Herrera C. 38. Mardones A. 17. Mella D. 12. Mfulu O. 1. Parreno G. (G) 28. Patino C. 22. Rama H. 11. Tosic N.	4. Alcala P. 26. Andugar A. 29. Checo 11. Clemente O. 21. Delmas J. 32. Luna D. 14. Millan A. 35. Nono (G) 30. Reyes J. (G) 36. Rubio L. N.
Coaches
Gilsanz O.	Fernandez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Navarro X. 🟥,
40', Hernandez J. 🟨,
45', Andy 🟨,
45+1', Aguirregabiria M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', Villares D. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Andy ⚽, Nacho (A),
59', Gomez D. ↓, Mella D. ↑,
68', Andy ↓, Clemente O. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Villares D. ⚽, Soriano M. (A),
75', Ortuno A. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, El Jebari S. ⚽,
79', Eddahchouri Z. ↓, Barbero I. ↑,
79', Petxa A. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
83', El Jebari S. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Barbero I. ⚽,
90+1', Jurado J. ↓, Rama H. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Deportivo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cartagena has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cartagena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo is certain favorite.

There will not play in Deportivo: Barcia D. (Yellow Cards) Escudero S. (Broken Hand) Gauto J. (Injury) Sanchez J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cartagena: Alcala P. (Muscle Injury) Mini (Yellow Cards) Moreno J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Deportivo: Obrador R. (Injury) Villares D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cartagena: Delmas J. (Inactive)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
17.03.25	Castellón - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
07.03.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Real Oviedo - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Huesca	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Eldense - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTWTL
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
15.03.25	Cartagena - Burgos	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Levante - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
28.02.25	Cartagena - Eibar	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Elche - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Cartagena - Málaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.11.24	Cartagena - Deportivo A Coruña	1:5
29.01.12	Deportivo A Coruña - Cartagena	N/A

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