Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Riazor (La Coruña)


	Deportivo A Coruña		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	1.33	4	9
	1.4	3.75	7.5
	1.34	4.15	8.35
	1.39	3.7	7
	1.4	4.11	9.7
	1.41	4.05	8.4
	1.38	3.95	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	3.96 ↑ (3.7)	8.28 ↓ (8.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
66%

Draw
23%

Mérida AD
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

24.7%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

22.8%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Deportivo A Coruña - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 10).

Deportivo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mérida AD has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Mérida AD have a series of home games.

In this match Deportivo is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.01.23	San Fernando - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
21.01.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Alcorcón - Deportivo A Coruña	3:1 ✺
08.01.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:0 ✺
18.12.22	Ceuta - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWLWW
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.01.23	Mérida AD - San Sebastian Reyes	1:3 ✺
22.01.23	Mérida AD - San Fernando	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Leonesa - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Mérida AD - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.09.22	Mérida AD - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1

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