Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Deportivo A Coruña		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.25	11
	1.2	5.5	11.5
	1.2	6	13
	1.21	6.08	12.89
	1.21	6.08	12.89
	1.19	5.82	13
	1.2	5.4	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.38)	5.73 ↑ (4.05)	12.33 ↑ (7.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
76.5%

Draw
16%

Arenteiro
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

22.5%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

21.2%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo A Coruña's performance.

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo A Coruña that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Deportivo A Coruña - Arenteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Parreno G. (G) 22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 15. Vazquez P. 4. Martinez P. 18. Balenziaga M. 3. Mella D. 20. Jurado J. 8. Villares D. 10. Hernandez Y. 7. Perez L. 9. Barbero I.	13. Rivas D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 15. Moreno J. 3. Novoa G. 18. Ramon A. 16. Esquerdo V. 8. Illesca M. 11. Pibe 23. Chacon L. 19. Ramos I. 9. Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L.
Substitutes
5. Barcia D. 14. Cayarga B. 11. Davo 2. lano Imbene 35. Lopez R. 23. Navarro X. 1. Puerto E. (G) 16. Quintero L. 12. Raul A. 24. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 6. Sevilla S. 21. Valcarce P.	20. Berardozzi T. 1. Brea Pablo (G) 5. Bueso P. 17. Cardero A. 14. Cruz A. 24. Figueroa M. (G) 4. Garcia Vitra D. R. 2. Lucas Sena 10. Marquitos 6. Rodriguez T. 21. Romay M. 7. Santos C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Novoa G. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Mella D. ⚽,
17', Ramon A. 🟨,
25', Jurado J. 🟨,
42', Esquerdo V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ramos I. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
51', 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, Villares D. ⚽,
64', Barbero I. ↓, Raul A. ↑,
64', Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. ↓, Santos C. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Chacon L. ⚽,
79', Sanchez J. ↓, Marquitos ↑,
79', Illesca M. ↓, Garcia Vitra D. R. ↑,
84', Pibe ↓, Romay M. ↑,
86', Hernandez Y. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
86', Mella D. ↓, Davo ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Romay M. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 7).

Deportivo in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Arenteiro is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.04.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Teruel - Deportivo A Coruña	1:3 ✺
07.04.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Cornellà - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.04.24	Arenteiro - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Cornellà - Arenteiro	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Barcelona B - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Arenteiro - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Sabadell - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.12.23	Arenteiro - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2
Club Friendly
20.08.21	Arenteiro - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1

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