Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 29

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Sabadell		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.6
	2.05	2.85	3.5
	2.1	2.95	3.75	Watch
	2.17	2.95	4.01
	2.17	2.83	4.01
	2.02	3.1	3.83
	2.05	2.95	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.16)	2.93 ↓ (3.05)	3.76 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
44%

Draw
31.5%

Arenteiro
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

30%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Sabadell - Arenteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ortola A. (C) 12. Domenech M. 6. Calavera J. 18. Salvador C. 5. Resta P. 16. Herrero T. 27. Saez M. 7. Moyano A. 21. Maestre S. 22. Abde 17. Kopotun V.	13. Garcia D. (C) 22. Sanchez J. 15. Moreno J. 3. Novoa G. 18. Ramon A. 11. Pibe 16. Esquerdo V. 23. Chacon L. 8. Illesca M. 19. Ramos I. 7. Santos C.
Substitutes
3. Fernandez J. 28. Fernandez P. 19. Garcia N. 8. Gualda A. 1. Leal F. (G) 2. Lopez V. (G) 9. Martinez M. . Morcillo J. B. 4. Pujol R. 23. Soto D.	20. Berardozzi T. 1. Brea Pablo (G) 5. Bueso P. 17. Cardero A. 9. Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. 2. Lucas Sena 10. Marquitos 6. Rodriguez T. 21. Romay M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Chacon L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Saez M. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
64', Santos C. ↓, Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. ↑,
70', Illesca M. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
70', Ramos I. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
70', Moyano A. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
82', Kopotun V. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
82', Salvador C. ↓, Gualda A. ↑,
82', Moreno J. 🟨,
84', Pibe ↓, Bueso P. ↑,
84', Sanchez J. ↓, Romay M. ↑,
90+4', Calavera J. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sabadell will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.03.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Sabadell - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Sestao - Sabadell	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Sabadell - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Real Sociedad B - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TTLWW
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.03.24	Arenteiro - Rayo Majadahonda	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Tarazona - Arenteiro	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Arenteiro - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	SD Logroñés - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Arenteiro - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.12.23	Arenteiro - Sabadell	2:0

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