Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Arenteiro		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.88	4.1
	2.2	2.85	3.1
	2.01	3	4
	2.02	3	4.43
	2	2.83	4.25	Watch
	2.02	2.9	4.14
	2.01	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.32)	2.92 ↓ (3.15)	4 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
45.5%

Draw
31.5%

Real Sociedad B
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

29.1%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arenteiro's performance.

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arenteiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	88.9%	0%

Arenteiro - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 8 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 15. Diori Y. 20. Perez S. 2. lano Imbene 18. Rodriguez E. 8. Solar M. 7. Ferreiro D. 16. Rivelott Curro 17. Pascu 21. Baselga M.	1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Ruperez I. 24. Beitia L. 15. Rodriguez P. 21. Merino J. 18. Garcia E. 6. Lebarbier A. 10. Goti Lopez M. 8. Rodriguez M. 40. Astiazaran L. 35. Carrera G.
Substitutes
19. Aguado T. 5. Borge A. 14. Cruz A. 11. Cuellar J. 10. Esteban S. 24. Fernandez L. 27. Figueroa M. (G) 1. Lopez A. (G) 6. Prendes M.	37. Garro J. 16. Gibelalde M. 44. Gorosabel G. 19. Marchal A. 9. Orobengoa E. 29. Osazuwa S. 17. Ramirez D. 38. Ropero I. 32. Zango A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽,
61', 1 - 1, Baselga M. ⚽,
78', Baselga M. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
85', Perez S. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Arenteiro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Sociedad B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arenteiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Arenteiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Arenteiro - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.5%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.05.25	Osasuna B - Arenteiro	3:0 ✺
03.05.25	Arenteiro - Zamora	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Arenteiro - Lugo	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Arenteiro	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWTT
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.05.25	Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina	3:2 ✺
02.05.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Real Sociedad B - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Lugo - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Real Sociedad B - FC Andorra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Arenteiro	0:1
31.03.24	Arenteiro - Real Sociedad B	1:1
11.11.23	Real Sociedad B - Arenteiro	2:2

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