The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arenteiro 10.9%
Draw 20.3%
Ponferradina 68.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22%
27.2%
50.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.2%
26.2%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arenteiro's form might have worsened.
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ponferradina's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenteiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Arenteiro - Ponferradina Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alvin (G) 4. Falcon E. 2. Moya P. 5. Perez G. 22. Sanchez J. 21. Lopez A. 6. Val B. 15. Moreno D. 23. Kandoussi B. 10. Chuca 7. Ferreiro D.
1. Prieto A. (G) 12. Koke 5. Undabarrena E. 3. Novoa G. 19. Lopez A. 7. Calderon C. 22. Esquerdo V. 16. Frimpong E. 17. Keita A. 18. Vazquez B. 8. Slavy
Substitutes
25. Bastida A. 13. Garcia D. (G) 8. Gonzalez D. 3. Lohr L. 17. Molina A. 14. Safrai
2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 9. Cortes J. 14. Fernandez X. 20. Ferrer P. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 26. Kysil V. 21. Mfulu O. 4. Moltenis B. 6. San Emeterio F. 10. Valle B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Sanchez J. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Slavy ⚽,
36', Frimpong E. ↓, San Emeterio F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lopez A. ↓, Bastida A. ↑,
55', Calderon C. 🟨,
61', Calderon C. ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,
61', Slavy ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
64', Moreno D. 🟨,
68', Val B. ↓, Safrai ↑,
68', Val B. ↓, Safrai ↑,
69', San Emeterio F. 🟨,
71', Bastida A. 🟥,
84', Chuca 🟨,
89', Keita A. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).
Arenteiro is Relegated to
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 2.
Arenteiro is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Ponferradina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ponferradina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ponferradina is the obvious favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Arenteiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Ponferradina
6
3
2
1
5:3
2
11
Last Results with these Odds
Ponferradina - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.75%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Alvin (G) 
Frimpong E. 
Slavy 
Safrai 
Kysil V. 
Mfulu O. 
Moltenis B. 
