Match Info

LaLiga - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Deportivo Alavés		Betis

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.9	Watch
	2.68	2.98	2.98	Watch
	2.7	3.05	3.04
	2.68	3	2.93	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.9
	2.77	3.05	3.07	Watch
	2.71	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.02)	2.98 ↓ (3.13)	2.95 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
35.6%

Draw
32%

Betis
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

30.4%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

31.2%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Betis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betis than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	31.2%	50%

Deportivo Alavés - Betis Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 9 - 18.8%). Betis will win (votes: 24 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Betis: 35.9% – 64.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Betis (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tie (votes: 10 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Alavés (1.84) (votes: 6 - 60%) .

DNB - Alavés (1.86) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 50%) .

DC - Betis (1.50) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - Betis (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 9 - 26.5%). Betis (votes: 15 - 44.1%). Tie (votes: 10 - 29.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 14. Tenaglia N. 23. Protesoni C. 5. Pacheco J. 17. Jonny Otto 7. Vicente C. 8. Blanco A. (C) 19. Ibanez P. 10. Alena C. 15. Boye L. 11. Martinez T.	25. Lopez P. (G) 40. Ortiz A. 5. Bartra M. (C) 4. Natan 16. Gomez V. 6. Altimira S. 21. Roca M. 7. Antony 8. Fornals P. 10. Ezzalzouli A. 11. Bakambu C.
Substitutes
20. Calebe 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 18. Guridi J. 34. Manas A. 33. Montero R. (G) 24. Parada V. 21. Rebbach A. 3. Yusi	13. Adrian (G) 9. Avila C. 50. Corralejo Mantero I. 18. Deossa N. 52. Garcia P. 3. Llorente D. 12. Rodriguez R. 1. Valles A. (G)
Coaches
Coudet E.	Pellegrini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Vicente C. ⚽, Boye L. (A),
36', Natan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, Martinez T. ⚽, Ibanez P. (A),
60', Natan ↓, Llorente D. ↑,
60', Antony ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
60', Altimira S. ↓, Avila C. ↑,
66', Alena C. 🟨,
72', Martinez T. ↓, Guridi J. ↑,
76', Fornals P. ↓, Deossa N. ↑,
76', Bakambu C. ↓, Corralejo Mantero I. ↑,
83', Vicente C. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
90+2', Ibanez P. ↓, Rebbach A. ↑,
90+2', Alena C. ↓, Yusi ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Ezzalzouli A. ⚽, Roca M. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 2.

Alavés is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Betis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alavés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Alavés: Diarra M. (Coach's decision) Diaz M. (Coach's decision) Garces F. (Suspended) Maras N. (Coach's decision) Suarez D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Betis: Amrabat S. (Ankle Injury) Bellerin H. (Muscle Injury) Cucho Hernandez (Injury) Firpo J. (Muscle Injury) Isco (Ankle Injury) Lo Celso G. (Muscle Injury) Riquelme R. (Muscle Injury) Ruibal A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.6:0.9).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Betis: 0.89% Alaves: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Betis	7	5	1	1	9:7	2	16
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11:6	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
18.01.26	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.01.26	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Osasuna - Deportivo Alavés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLTL
- Real Betis
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	PAOK - Betis	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
17.01.26	Betis - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.01.26	Betis - Elche	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.01.26	Real Oviedo - Betis	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Real Madrid - Betis	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
22.08.25	Betis - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
18.01.25	Betis - Deportivo Alavés	1:3
25.08.24	Deportivo Alavés - Betis	0:0
18.02.24	Betis - Deportivo Alavés	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Deportivo Alavés - Betis	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
08.10.23	Deportivo Alavés - Betis	1:1
18.01.22	Betis - Deportivo Alavés	4:0

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