Match Info

LaLiga - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh Sports 1
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 1, SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN 4, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1, Varzish Sport
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Sports 5, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1, Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22


	Real Madrid		Betis

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.6	6	Watch
	1.49	5	5.5
	1.52	4.45	5.9	Watch
	1.34	5.49	7.45
	1.5	4.74	6.6	Watch
	1.44	4.4	6
	1.5	4.69	6.5	Watch
	1.52	4.5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)	4.73 ↓ (5.41)	6.21 ↓ (7.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
64.5%

Draw
20.1%

Betis
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

17.6%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.8%

19.3%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Betis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Betis than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.6%	11.9%	4.5%

Real Madrid - Betis Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (56 of 67 users predict this - 83.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.71% – 92.45%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Courtois T. (G) 8. Valverde F. (C) 17. Asencio R. 22. Rudiger A. 18. Carreras A. 11. Rodrygo 6. Camavinga E. 14. Tchouameni A. 5. Bellingham J. 16. Garcia G. 7. Vinicius Junior	1. Alvaro Valles (G) 40. Ortiz A. 5. Bartra M. (C) 4. Natan 12. Rodriguez R. 18. Deossa N. 21. Roca M. 7. Antony 8. Fornals P. 24. Ruibal A. 19. Cucho Hernandez
Substitutes
4. Alaba D. 2. Carvajal D. 19. Ceballos D. 20. Garcia F. 15. Guler A. 35. Jimenez D. 13. Lunin A. (G) 30. Mastantuono F. 23. Mendy F. 43. Mestre S. (G) 45. Pitarch T.	13. Adrian (G) 6. Altimira S. 9. Avila C. 2. Bellerin H. 23. Firpo J. 52. Garcia P. 16. Gomez V. 3. Llorente D. 20. Lo Celso G. 25. Lopez P. (G) 17. Riquelme R.
Coaches
Alonso X.	Pellegrini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Ortiz A. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽, Rodrygo (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Ortiz A. ↓, Bellerin H. ↑,
46', Deossa N. ↓, Lo Celso G. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
53', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
56', 3 - 0, Asencio R. ⚽, Rodrygo (A),
66', 3 - 1, Cucho Hernandez ⚽, Ruibal A. (A),
67', Roca M. ↓, Altimira S. ↑,
67', Ruibal A. ↓, Riquelme R. ↑,
77', Vinicius Junior ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
77', Rodrygo ↓, Guler A. ↑,
81', Tchouameni A. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
82', 4 - 1, Garcia G. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
88', Antony ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
88', Garcia G. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
89', Rudiger A. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 1, Garcia F. ⚽, Valverde F. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 1.

In recent matches, Real has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Betis is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Real: Alexander-Arnold T. (Thigh Injury) Diaz B. (International duty) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Mbappe K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Betis: Amrabat S. (International duty) Bakambu C. (International duty) Ezzalzouli A. (International duty) Isco (Injury)

There are questionable in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Huijsen D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Real won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.1:0.5).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Madrid: 20.23% Betis: 0.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Betis	7	5	1	1	9:7	2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18:8	10	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
20.12.25	Real Madrid - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Real Madrid - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
07.12.25	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL
- Real Betis
Spanish LaLiga
21.12.25	Betis - Getafe	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.12.25	Real Murcia - Betis	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
15.12.25	Rayo Vallecano - Betis	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Betis	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.12.25	Betis - Barcelona	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
01.03.25	Betis - Real Madrid	2:1
01.09.24	Real Madrid - Betis	2:0
25.05.24	Real Madrid - Betis	0:0
09.12.23	Betis - Real Madrid	1:1
05.03.23	Betis - Real Madrid	0:0
03.09.22	Real Madrid - Betis	2:1
20.05.22	Real Madrid - Betis	0:0

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