Match Info

LaLiga - Round 19

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	16:15	SuperSport 3
Argentina	12:15	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	19:15	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	02:15	beIN Connect
Austria	16:15	DAZN
Azerbaijan	19:15	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	21:15	Begin
Brazil	12:15	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:15	Max Sport 4
Canada	10:15	TSN+
Chile	12:15	Disney+
China	23:15	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	10:15	Disney+
Croatia	16:15	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	16:15	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	16:15	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	—	Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	17:15	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	16:15	beIN Connect
Georgia	19:15	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	16:15	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:15	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	23:15	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	16:15	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	20:45	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	22:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	16:15	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:15	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	21:15	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	18:15	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	21:15	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	22:15	beIN Connect
Malaysia	23:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	09:15	Sky Sport
Moldova	17:15	Setanta Sports 2
New Zealand	04:15	beIN Connect
Nigeria	16:15	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	16:15	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:15	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	10:15	Disney+
Philippines	23:15	beIN Connect
Poland	16:15	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	15:15	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	17:15	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	18:15	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	16:15	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	23:15	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	16:15	Voyo
Slovenia	16:15	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	17:15	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	16:15	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	16:15	TV4 Play
Tajikistan	20:15	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	22:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	18:15	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	20:15	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	17:15	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	15:15	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	12:15	Disney+
Usa	10:15	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	20:15	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	11:15	Disney+
Vietnam	22:15	K+, SCTV 15


	Villarreal		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7	Watch
	1.49	4.25	6.9	Watch
	1.48	4.29	7.18	Watch
	1.44	4	7
	1.49	4.6	7.16	Watch
	1.48	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.59)	4.33 ↑ (3.95)	7.04 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
64.6%

Draw
21.9%

Deportivo Alavés
13.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.8%

24.1%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

24.3%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	7.6%	9.1%

Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Villarreal (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (55 of 66 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.34% – 92.32%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 23 - 95.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Junior (G) 15. Mourino S. 8. Foyth J. 12. Veiga R. 24. Pedraza A. 17. Buchanan T. 10. Parejo D. (C) 14. Comesana S. 20. Moleiro A. 22. Perez A. 9. Mikautadze G.	1. Sivera A. (G) 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 5. Pacheco J. 24. Parada V. 8. Blanco A. (C) 7. Vicente C. 19. Ibanez P. 18. Guridi J. 10. Alena C. 11. Martinez T.
Substitutes
23. Cardona S. 13. Conde D. (G) 32. Lopez H. 37. Macia C. 4. Marin R. 7. Moreno G. 26. Navarro P. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 16. Partey T. 19. Pepe N. 25. Tenas A. (G)	30. Ballestero C. 20. Calebe 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 34. Manas A. 21. Rebbach A. 3. Yusi
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Coudet E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Alena C. 🟨,
45', Jonny Otto 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Perez A. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Moleiro A. ⚽,
55', 2 - 0, Moreno G. ⚽,
59', Jonny Otto ↓, Yusi ↑,
59', Ibanez P. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
67', Parejo D. ↓, Partey T. ↑,
67', Buchanan T. ↓, Pepe N. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Mikautadze G. ⚽, Moleiro A. (A),
77', Moleiro A. ↓, Cardona S. ↑,
80', Guridi J. ↓, Rebbach A. ↑,
80', Alena C. ↓, Manas A. ↑,
82', Pedraza A. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Martinez T. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Alavés has had a series of home games.

In this match, Villarreal is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (International duty) Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Gueye P. (International duty) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended) Protesoni C. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Navarro P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Alavés: Boye L. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2.3:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alaves	10	3	3	4	14:11	3	12
10	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	15:14	1	12

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Villarreal: 0.4% Alaves: 0.2%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.26	Elche - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Villarreal - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Villarreal - Copenhagen	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.12.25	Villarreal - Getafe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
04.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Osasuna - Deportivo Alavés	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
08.03.25	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:0
09.11.24	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	3:0
10.02.24	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:1
22.10.23	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
30.04.22	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	2:1
21.12.21	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	5:2
21.04.21	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	2:1

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