Match Info

LaLiga - Round 19

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Villarreal		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7	Watch
	1.49	4.25	6.9	Watch
	1.48	4.29	7.18	Watch
	1.44	4	7
	1.49	4.6	7.16	Watch
	1.48	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.59)	4.33 ↑ (3.95)	7.04 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Villarreal
64.6%

Draw
21.9%

Deportivo Alavés
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

24.1%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

25.2%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	7.6%	9.1%

Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Villarreal (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (55 of 66 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.34% – 92.32%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 23 - 95.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Junior (G) 15. Mourino S. 8. Foyth J. 12. Veiga R. 24. Pedraza A. 17. Buchanan T. 10. Parejo D. (C) 14. Comesana S. 20. Moleiro A. 22. Perez A. 9. Mikautadze G.	1. Sivera A. (G) 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 5. Pacheco J. 24. Parada V. 8. Blanco A. (C) 7. Vicente C. 19. Ibanez P. 18. Guridi J. 10. Alena C. 11. Martinez T.
Substitutes
23. Cardona S. 13. Conde D. (G) 32. Lopez H. 37. Macia C. 4. Marin R. 7. Moreno G. 26. Navarro P. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 16. Partey T. 19. Pepe N. 25. Tenas A. (G)	30. Ballestero C. 20. Calebe 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 34. Manas A. 21. Rebbach A. 3. Yusi
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Coudet E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Alena C. 🟨,
45', Jonny Otto 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Perez A. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Moleiro A. ⚽,
55', 2 - 0, Moreno G. ⚽,
59', Jonny Otto ↓, Yusi ↑,
59', Ibanez P. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
67', Parejo D. ↓, Partey T. ↑,
67', Buchanan T. ↓, Pepe N. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Mikautadze G. ⚽, Moleiro A. (A),
77', Moleiro A. ↓, Cardona S. ↑,
80', Guridi J. ↓, Rebbach A. ↑,
80', Alena C. ↓, Manas A. ↑,
82', Pedraza A. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Martinez T. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Alavés has had a series of home games.

In this match, Villarreal is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (International duty) Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Gueye P. (International duty) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended) Protesoni C. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Navarro P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Alavés: Boye L. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2.3:1.4).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Villarreal: 0.44% Alaves: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11:6	5	11
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13:12	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.26	Elche - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Villarreal - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Villarreal - Copenhagen	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.12.25	Villarreal - Getafe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
04.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Osasuna - Deportivo Alavés	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
08.03.25	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:0
09.11.24	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	3:0
10.02.24	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:1
22.10.23	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
30.04.22	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	2:1
21.12.21	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	5:2
21.04.21	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	2:1

Upcoming Matches