Match Info

LaLiga - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Angola	16:15	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	12:15	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	19:15	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	02:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	16:15	DAZN
Azerbaijan	19:15	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	21:15	Begin
Bolivia	11:15	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:15	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	12:15	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	17:15	Max Sport 4
Canada	10:15	TSN 4, TSN+
Chile	12:15	DirecTV Sports
China	23:15	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	16:15	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:15	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	16:15	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	16:15	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	10:15	DirecTV Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	17:15	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	16:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV
Georgia	19:15	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	16:15	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:15	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	10:15	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong Kong	23:15	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	16:15	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	20:45	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	22:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	17:15	ONE Sport
Italy	16:15	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:15	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	21:15	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	18:15	Gotv
Kosovo	16:15	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	21:15	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	22:15	beIN Connect
Madagascar	18:15	UpTV
Malaysia	23:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	20:15	ICE Xtra
Malta	16:15	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	09:15	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	17:15	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	17:15	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	16:15	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	04:15	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	16:15	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	16:15	TDM Desporto
Norway	16:15	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	10:15	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	23:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	16:15	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	15:15	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	17:15	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	18:15	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	16:15	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	23:15	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	16:15	Voyo
Slovenia	16:15	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	17:15	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	16:15	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	16:15	TV4 Play
Switzerland	16:15	Blue Sport 4
Tajikistan	20:15	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	22:15	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	18:15	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	20:15	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	17:15	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	15:15	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	12:15	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	10:15	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	20:15	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	11:15	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	22:15	K+, SCTV 15


	Atlético Madrid		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	9	Watch
	1.35	4.95	9.3	Watch
	1.4	4.98	8.72
	1.36	4.6	8
	1.39	5.13	9.75	Watch
	1.35	5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.35)	4.9 ↑ (4.78)	8.96 ↓ (9.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
69.8%

Draw
19.5%

Deportivo Alavés
10.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.2%

19.8%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

18.2%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.6%	1.7%	1.7%

Atlético Madrid - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1.5 - Atlético (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (56 of 58 users predict this - 96.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (C) 14. Llorente M. 18. Pubill M. 17. Hancko D. 3. Ruggeri M. 20. Simeone G. 8. Barrios P. 5. Cardoso J. 11. Almada T. 19. Alvarez J. 9. Sorloth A.	1. Sivera A. (G) 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 5. Pacheco J. 24. Parada V. 8. Blanco A. (C) 7. Vicente C. 18. Guridi J. 19. Ibanez P. 10. Alena C. 11. Martinez T.
Substitutes
10. Baena A. 29. Belaid R. 31. Esquivel S. (G) 2. Gimenez J. M. 7. Griezmann A. 6. Koke 24. Le Normand R. 16. Molina N. 27. Monserrate J. 1. Musso J. (G)	15. Boye L. 20. Calebe 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 34. Manas A. 23. Protesoni C. 21. Rebbach A. 4. Suarez D. 3. Yusi
Coaches
Simeone D.	Coudet E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Ibanez P. 🟨,
27', Cardoso J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Sorloth A. ⚽, Barrios P. (A),
54', Guridi J. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
55', Ibanez P. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
55', Martinez T. ↓, Boye L. ↑,
62', Alvarez J. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
62', Simeone G. ↓, Koke ↑,
62', Almada T. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
69', Alena C. ↓, Rebbach A. ↑,
78', Cardoso J. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
81', Blanco A. ↓, Manas A. ↑,
86', Sorloth A. ↓, Molina N. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 2.

Atlético is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alavés has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Atlético has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlético is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Atlético: Lenglet C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Alavés: Boye L. (Muscle Injury) Diarra M. (Coach's decision) Diaz M. (Coach's decision) Maras N. (Coach's decision)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:11. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Atl. Madrid	10	8	1	1	20:8	12	25
7	Alaves	10	3	3	4	14:11	3	12

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Atl. Madrid: 6.38% Alaves: 0.2%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
Spanish Supercopa
08.01.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.01.26	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Girona - Atlético Madrid	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Atlético Baleares - Atlético Madrid	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTWW
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.01.26	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Osasuna - Deportivo Alavés	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
30.08.25	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:1
03.05.25	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	0:0
23.11.24	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	2:1
21.04.24	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	2:0
29.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	2:1
02.04.22	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	4:1
25.09.21	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:0

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