Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 21

Date: 19 January 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Deportivo Alavés		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	6	Watch
	1.66	3.4	6
	1.68	3.5	6.5	Watch
	1.79	3.46	5.4
	1.65	3.65	6.63
	1.6	3.5	6
	1.71	3.68	6.27	Watch
	1.68	3.55	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.79)	3.54 ↑ (3.44)	6.13 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
57.2%

Draw
27.1%

Cádiz
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

27.7%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.5%	12.3%	8.2%

Deportivo Alavés - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Alavés will win (58 of 73 users predict this - 79.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.18% – 88.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 2. Gorosabel A. 16. Marin R. 3. Duarte R. (C) 27. Lopez J. 6. Guevara A. 8. Blanco A. 18. Guridi J. 22. Vicente C. 15. Garcia K. 11. Rioja L.	1. Ledesma C. (C) 2. Zaldua J. 3. Fali 5. Chust V. 33. Lucas Pires 11. Alejo I. 4. Alcaraz R. 17. Escalante G. 27. Navarro R. 16. Ramos C. 19. Guardiola S.
Substitutes
17. Alkain X. 23. Benavidez C. 35. Diallo Selu M. 44. Gonzalez V. P. 10. Hagi I. 19. Maras N. 32. Omorodion S. 21. Rebbach A. 33. Rodriguez A. (G) 20. Simeone G. 7. Sola A. 14. Tenaglia N.	20. Carcelen I. 36. Etta Eyong 8. Fernandez A. 13. Gil D. (G) 25. Gomez M. 6. Jose Mari 12. Kouame R. 14. Mbaye M. 22. Mere J. 9. Negredo A. 10. Ocampo B.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Sergio

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Recent matches Alavés is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cádiz is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cádiz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alavés is a favorite.

There will not play in Alavés: Abqar A. (National selection) Owono J. (National selection) Sedlar A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cádiz: Machis D. (Knee Injury) Marti R. (Foot Injury) San Emeterio F. (Injury) Sobrino R. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Alavés: Vicente C. (Health problems)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.24	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.01.24	Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Deportivo Alavés - Betis	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.01.24	Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
21.12.23	Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWWTL
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
14.01.24	Cádiz - Valencia	1:4 ✺
03.01.24	Granada - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
21.12.23	Cádiz - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Las Palmas - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Cádiz - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
14.08.23	Cádiz - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
22.05.22	Deportivo Alavés - Cádiz	0:1
23.10.21	Cádiz - Deportivo Alavés	0:2
13.03.21	Deportivo Alavés - Cádiz	1:1
10.01.21	Cádiz - Deportivo Alavés	3:1

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