Match Info

LaLiga - Round 10

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Angola	20:00	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	06:00	beIN Connect
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	01:00	Begin
Belarus	22:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 3, ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN+
Chile	16:00	ESPN 3
China	03:00	Migu
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 3
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 3, ESPN 4
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	19:00	Disney+
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Maldives	00:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	08:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	16:00	ESPN 3, ESPN 4
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:00	DAZN
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	22:00	S Sport 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	SCTV Online


	Deportivo Alavés		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	6	Watch
	1.60	3.80	6.00
	1.6	3.75	6	Watch
	1.63	3.9	6.35
	1.66	3.85	5.3	Watch
	1.61	3.75	6.2
	1.69	3.91	5.99	Watch
	1.59	3.95	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.85)	3.84 ↑ (3.68)	5.98 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
59%

Draw
25%

Málaga
16%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.8%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.4%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Alavés's performance.

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Málaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Alavés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Málaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	16.7%	6.2%

Deportivo Alavés - Málaga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Alavés (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - CD Alaves (1.73) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Deportivo Alavés will win (37 of 47 users predict this - 78.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.02% – 90.42%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 7. Perez A. 14. Tenaglia N. 16. Koski V. 2. Valentini N. 21. Rebbach A. 19. Ibanez P. 8. Blanco A. (C) 10. Alena C. 15. Boye L. 9. Diaz M.	1. Herrero A. (G) 3. Puga C. 15. Recio A. 4. Galilea E. 31. Rafita 6. Enriquez R. (C) 10. Larrubia D. 8. Dotor C. 22. Lorenzo D. 39. Aznou A. 21. Nino A.
Substitutes
24. Diallo Selu M. 17. Jonny Otto 20. Manas A. 11. Martinez T. 33. Montero R. (G) 12. Novoa Ramos H. 27. Olaiz X. 23. Protesoni C. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 22. Rodriguez M. 4. Suarez D. 3. Yusi	7. Abaida H. 25. Berrocal J. 2. Cajuste J. 20. Calero F. 9. Chupe 32. Fernandez J. 17. Jauregi E. 13. Lopez C. (G) 23. Merino I. 5. Pastor A. 14. Rodriguez R. 12. Salinas J.
Coaches
Sanchez Flores Q.	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Boye L. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Nino A. ⚽, Enriquez R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alena C. ↓, Novoa Ramos H. ↑,
55', Valentini N. ↓, Yusi ↑,
55', Rebbach A. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
66', Diaz M. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
67', Tenaglia N. 🟨,
68', Aznou A. ↓, Salinas J. ↑,
68', Enriquez R. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
75', Blanco A. ↓, Manas A. ↑,
77', Puga C. ↓, Berrocal J. ↑,
77', Nino A. ↓, Chupe ↑,
84', Dotor C. 🟨,
87', Dotor C. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Manas A. ⚽,
90+2', Funes J. 🟨,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 7th and 20th in the Relegation - LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 4.

Alavés is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Málaga is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Alavés for this game.

Confirmed absences for Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended) Rodriguez M. (Ankle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Málaga: Cruz J. (Muscle Injury) Lobete J. (Knee Injury) Munoz J. (Calf Injury) Murillo D. (Knee Injury) Ochoa A. (Knee Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Alavés has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 1.5:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alavés against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alaves	10	3	3	4	14:11	3	12
20	Malaga	10	0	5	5	7:19	-12	5

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Alaves: 0.2% Malaga: 0.09%

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Alavés - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
18.10.26	Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	0:0 ✺
15.09.26	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLL
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga
18.10.26	Málaga - Real Sociedad	2:5 ✺
09.10.26	Málaga - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Getafe - Málaga	1:0 ✺
17.09.26	Málaga - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Celta de Vigo - Málaga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.05.23	Deportivo Alavés - Málaga	2:1
18.12.22	Málaga - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
06.05.18	Málaga - Deportivo Alavés	0:3
21.12.17	Deportivo Alavés - Málaga	1:0
11.03.17	Málaga - Deportivo Alavés	1:2
16.10.16	Deportivo Alavés - Málaga	1:1

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