Match Info

LaLiga - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
China	Migu
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Izzi TV, Sky Sport, ViX Premium
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Celta de Vigo		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	5.50	Watch
	1.70	3.60	5.25
	1.68	3.70	5.25	Watch
	1.72	3.70	5.70
	1.76	3.7	4.82	Watch
	1.70	3.65	5.65
	1.68	3.77	5.53	Watch
	1.72	3.80	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.76)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	5.39 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
56.3%

Draw
25.9%

Málaga
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.3%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

26.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	8.7%	8.7%

Celta de Vigo - Málaga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (2.05) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Celta (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Celta de Vigo will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 21. Caceres S. 18. Lago Y. 3. Alonso M. (C) 17. Rueda J. 8. Roman M. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 16. Gonzalez H. 9. Jutgla F. 23. Alvarez H.	1. Herrero A. (C) 31. Rafita 15. Recio A. 4. Galilea E. 12. Salinas J. 10. Larrubia D. 23. Merino I. 18. Martinez P. 11. Munoz J. 22. Lorenzo D. 9. Chupe
Substitutes
10. Aspas I. 1. Bayindir A. (G) 30. Burcio H. 24. Driouech C. 11. Duran P. 4. Faye A. 22. Galan J. 15. Nunez A. 20. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 19. Swedberg W. 25. Villar I. (G)	25. Berrocal J. 2. Cajuste J. 19. Cruz J. 6. Enriquez R. 32. Fernandez J. 17. Jauregi E. 13. Lopez C. (G) 21. Nino A. 3. Puga C. 14. Rodriguez R.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Galilea E. 🟨,
26', Lago Y. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Jutgla F. ⚽, Gonzalez H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Galilea E. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
61', Munoz J. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
62', Gonzalez H. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
67', Lorenzo D. ↓, Puga C. ↑,
67', Merino I. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
74', Moriba I. ↓, Burcio H. ↑,
74', Alvarez H. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Nino A. ⚽, Martinez P. (A),
84', Jutgla F. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
84', Rueda J. ↓, Galan J. ↑,
87', Salinas J. ↓, Berrocal J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Málaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Celta is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Celta: Antanon A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Calero F. (Ribs Injury) Diarra M. (Calf Injury) Lobete J. (Knee Injury) Murillo D. (Injury) Ochoa A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Celta: El Abdellaoui J. (Injury) Febas A. (Ribs Injury) Iglesias B. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Celta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Celta Vigo: 0.14% Malaga: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8:6	2	7
19	Malaga	8	0	4	4	4:13	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
07.09.26	Getafe - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
03.09.26	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLLT
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga
06.09.26	Málaga - Levante	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Real Madrid - Málaga	4:0 ✺
24.08.26	Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Málaga	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Málaga - Fulham	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
18.03.18	Celta de Vigo - Málaga	0:0
29.10.17	Málaga - Celta de Vigo	2:1
07.05.17	Málaga - Celta de Vigo	3:0
08.01.17	Celta de Vigo - Málaga	3:1
08.05.16	Celta de Vigo - Málaga	1:0
02.01.16	Málaga - Celta de Vigo	2:0
29.04.15	Celta de Vigo - Málaga	1:0

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