Match Info

LaLiga - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	14:00	SuperSport 4
Argentina	09:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	16:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	22:00	beIN Connect
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	18:00	Begin
Bolivia	08:00	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	09:00	Amazon Prime Video
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
China	20:00	Migu
Croatia	14:00	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	14:00	Disney+
Ecuador	07:00	ESPN 4
Finland	15:00	Disney+
France	14:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	16:00	Silk Sport 3
Germany	14:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	20:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	12:00	Disney+
India	17:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	19:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	21:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	15:00	Gotv
Kosovo	14:00	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 2
Laos	19:00	beIN Connect
Macao	20:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Maldives	17:00	Medianet
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	06:00	Canal 5, Izzi TV, Sky Sport, ViX Premium
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	00:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	13:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	08:00	ESPN 4
Peru	07:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Philippines	20:00	beIN Connect
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	15:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	15:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	20:00	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	14:00	SportKlub 2
South Africa	14:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	21:00	Coupang Play
Spain	14:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	14:00	Disney+
Switzerland	14:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	20:00	DAZN
Thailand	19:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	13:00	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	09:00	Disney+
Usa	08:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	08:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Vietnam	19:00	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Celta de Vigo		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	5.50	Watch
	1.70	3.60	5.25
	1.68	3.70	5.25	Watch
	1.72	3.70	5.70
	1.76	3.7	4.82	Watch
	1.70	3.65	5.65
	1.68	3.77	5.53	Watch
	1.72	3.80	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.76)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	5.39 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
56.3%

Draw
25.9%

Málaga
17.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.3%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

26.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	8.7%	8.7%

Celta de Vigo - Málaga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (2.05) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Celta (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Celta de Vigo will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 21. Caceres S. 18. Lago Y. 3. Alonso M. (C) 17. Rueda J. 8. Roman M. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 16. Gonzalez H. 9. Jutgla F. 23. Alvarez H.	1. Herrero A. (C) 31. Rafita 15. Recio A. 4. Galilea E. 12. Salinas J. 10. Larrubia D. 23. Merino I. 18. Martinez P. 11. Munoz J. 22. Lorenzo D. 9. Chupe
Substitutes
10. Aspas I. 1. Bayindir A. (G) 30. Burcio H. 24. Driouech C. 11. Duran P. 4. Faye A. 22. Galan J. 15. Nunez A. 20. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 19. Swedberg W. 25. Villar I. (G)	25. Berrocal J. 2. Cajuste J. 19. Cruz J. 6. Enriquez R. 32. Fernandez J. 17. Jauregi E. 13. Lopez C. (G) 21. Nino A. 3. Puga C. 14. Rodriguez R.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Galilea E. 🟨,
26', Lago Y. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Jutgla F. ⚽, Gonzalez H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Galilea E. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
61', Munoz J. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
62', Gonzalez H. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
67', Lorenzo D. ↓, Puga C. ↑,
67', Merino I. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
74', Moriba I. ↓, Burcio H. ↑,
74', Alvarez H. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Nino A. ⚽, Martinez P. (A),
84', Jutgla F. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
84', Rueda J. ↓, Galan J. ↑,
87', Salinas J. ↓, Berrocal J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Málaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Celta is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Celta: Antanon A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Calero F. (Ribs Injury) Diarra M. (Calf Injury) Lobete J. (Knee Injury) Murillo D. (Injury) Ochoa A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Celta: El Abdellaoui J. (Injury) Febas A. (Ribs Injury) Iglesias B. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Celta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Celta Vigo	10	2	6	2	10:7	3	12
20	Malaga	10	0	5	5	7:19	-12	5

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Celta Vigo: 0.24% Malaga: 0.09%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
07.09.26	Getafe - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
03.09.26	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLLT
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga
06.09.26	Málaga - Levante	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Real Madrid - Málaga	4:0 ✺
24.08.26	Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Málaga	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Málaga - Fulham	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
18.03.18	Celta de Vigo - Málaga	0:0
29.10.17	Málaga - Celta de Vigo	2:1
07.05.17	Málaga - Celta de Vigo	3:0
08.01.17	Celta de Vigo - Málaga	3:1
08.05.16	Celta de Vigo - Málaga	1:0
02.01.16	Málaga - Celta de Vigo	2:0
29.04.15	Celta de Vigo - Málaga	1:0

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