Match Info

LaLiga - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	14:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	09:00	DSports 1
Armenia	16:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	22:00	beIN Connect
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	16:00	Idman TV
Bangladesh	18:00	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	09:00	Amazon Prime Video
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
China	20:00	Migu
Croatia	14:00	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 6
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	14:00	Disney+
Ecuador	07:00	DAZN
Finland	15:00	Disney+
France	14:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	14:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	20:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	12:00	Disney+
India	17:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	21:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	15:00	Gotv
Kosovo	14:00	Arena Premium 2
Laos	19:00	beIN Connect
Macao	20:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	17:00	Medianet
Mexico	06:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 4
New Zealand	00:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	13:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Philippines	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	14:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	15:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	15:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	20:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	14:00	Nova Sport 4
Slovenia	14:00	SportKlub 1
South Africa	14:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	21:00	Coupang Play
Spain	14:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	14:00	Disney+
Switzerland	14:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	20:00	DAZN
Thailand	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	13:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	09:00	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	08:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	08:00	DAZN
Vietnam	19:00	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Racing Santander		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.65
	2.55	3.50	2.63	Watch
	2.77	3.50	2.64
	2.45	3.63	2.75	Watch
	2.75	3.45	2.60
	2.74	3.60	2.68	Watch
	2.65	3.55	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.4)	3.53 ↑ (3.38)	2.64 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
36.4%

Draw
27.2%

Deportivo Alavés
36.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

29.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Alavés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	45.8%	50%

Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Alavés will win (votes: 12 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 30% – 70%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Racing (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 5. Ramon P. 24. Belocian J. 17. Salinas J. 23. Martin I. 18. Prati M. 15. Garcia P. 20. Canales S. 10. Vicente I. 21. Zabiri Y.	1. Sivera A. (G) 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 16. Koski V. 7. Perez A. 19. Ibanez P. 8. Blanco A. (C) 4. Suarez D. 21. Rebbach A. 15. Boye L. 9. Diaz M.
Substitutes
8. Almeida A. 9. Arana J. 31. Gomez Rodriguez L. (G) 16. Gonzalez F. 14. Gueye M. 7. Guliashvili G. 19. Luque I. 4. Manu Hernando 3. Martin A. 22. Pedro Felipe 6. Sainz-Maza I. 12. Villalibre A.	10. Alena C. 24. Diallo Selu M. 6. Guevara A. 20. Manas A. 11. Martinez T. 12. Novoa Ramos H. 27. Olaiz X. 23. Protesoni C. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 22. Rodriguez M. 2. Valentini N. 3. Yusi
Coaches
Lopez J.	Sanchez Flores Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Tenaglia N. 🟨,
8', Ibanez P. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Koski V. ⚽,
35', Zabiri Y. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Zabiri Y. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ibanez P. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
46', Tenaglia N. ↓, Valentini N. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Zabiri Y. ⚽, Salinas J. (A),
62', Salinas J. 🟨,
62', Blanco A. 🟨,
65', Garcia P. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
67', Blanco A. ↓, Alena C. ↑,
67', Diaz M. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
74', Canales S. ↓, Luque I. ↑,
74', Zabiri Y. ↓, Guliashvili G. ↑,
84', Vicente I. ↓, Villalibre A. ↑,
84', Prati M. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
86', Perez A. ↓, Manas A. ↑,
89', Almeida A. 🟥,
90+7', Manas A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
90+8', Guliashvili G. ↓, Pedro Felipe ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 0.

Racing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alavés is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Alavés has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Racing: Eriksson S. (Shoulder Injury) Martin A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended) Rodriguez M. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Racing won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alaves	10	3	3	4	14:11	3	12
13	Racing Santander	10	3	2	5	15:26	-11	11

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Alaves: 0.2% Racing Santander: 0.1%

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Santander - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.41%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga
05.09.26	Rayo Vallecano - Racing Santander	3:2 ✺
28.08.26	Racing Santander - Elche	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Getafe - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.26	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLTW
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
06.09.26	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	5:2 ✺
28.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Getafe	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Deportivo Alavés - Castellón	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.07.24	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	0:0
22.07.23	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
21.01.23	Deportivo Alavés - Racing Santander	3:0
01.11.22	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
Club Friendly
03.08.19	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	0:1
18.07.18	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
28.03.15	Deportivo Alavés - Racing Santander	2:1

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