Match Info

LaLiga - Round 6

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu
Colombia	ESPN 4
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 2, ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	HBO Max, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Málaga		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.60	2.05	Watch
	3.30	3.50	2.10
	3.50	3.50	2.07	Watch
	3.61	3.65	2.11
	3.62	3.9	1.94	Watch
	3.55	3.60	2.08
	3.76	3.63	2.00	Watch
	3.50	3.70	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.36)	3.64 ↓ (3.82)	2.06 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
27.1%

Draw
26.4%

Villarreal
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

24.9%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

24.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.5%	24.3%	62.2%

Málaga - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Villarreal will win (votes: 23 - 65.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 50% – 81.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Málaga (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Villarreal (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Villarreal (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 15. Recio A. 4. Galilea E. 12. Salinas J. 23. Merino I. 19. Cruz J. 10. Larrubia D. 8. Dotor C. 18. Martinez P. 9. Chupe	25. Gulacsi P. (G) 3. Freeman A. 6. Navarro P. 12. Veiga R. 23. Cardona S. 11. Akhomach I. 24. Saliba N. 14. Comesana S. (C) 17. Buchanan T. 10. Moleiro A. 22. Perez A.
Substitutes
25. Berrocal J. 6. Enriquez R. 32. Fernandez J. 17. Jauregi E. 13. Lopez C. (G) 22. Lorenzo D. 11. Munoz J. 21. Nino A. 5. Pastor A. 31. Rafita 14. Rodriguez R.	2. Costa L. 5. Diatta A. 13. Gomez R. (G) 18. Gueye P. 1. Luiz Junior (G) 16. Macia C. 9. Mikautadze G. 7. Moreno G. 15. Mourino S. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 19. Pepe N. 20. Romero C.
Coaches
Funes J.	Perez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 1 - 0, Dotor C. ⚽, Cruz J. (A),
34', Salinas J. 🟨,
37', Comesana S. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Moleiro A. ⚽, Akhomach I. (A),
42', Akhomach I. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Gueye P. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cruz J. ↓, Lorenzo D. ↑,
46', Salinas J. ↓, Rafita ↑,
61', Merino I. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
61', Dotor C. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
63', Akhomach I. ↓, Romero C. ↑,
63', Perez A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
68', Larrubia D. 🟨,
70', Galilea E. 🟨,
75', Puga C. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
79', Enriquez R. 🟨,
80', Moleiro A. ↓, Mourino S. ↑,
80', Saliba N. ↓, Macia C. ↑,
85', Herrero A. 🟨,
86', 1 - 3, Gueye P. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 2.

Málaga is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villarreal has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Villarreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Villarreal could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Málaga: Cajuste J. (Injury) Diarra M. (Calf Injury) Lobete J. (Knee Injury) Murillo D. (Injury) Ochoa A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Villarreal: Foyth J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Málaga: Calero F. (Ribs Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Villarreal: 0.44% Malaga: 0.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13:12	1	8
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3:12	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Villarreal - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.83%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga
13.09.26	Celta de Vigo - Málaga	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Málaga - Levante	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Real Madrid - Málaga	4:0 ✺
24.08.26	Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Málaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLTL
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
14.09.26	Villarreal - Betis	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
05.09.26	Villarreal - Deportivo A Coruña	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
01.04.18	Málaga - Villarreal	1:0
05.11.17	Villarreal - Málaga	2:0
Club Friendly
11.08.17	Málaga - Villarreal	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
12.02.17	Villarreal - Málaga	1:1
10.09.16	Málaga - Villarreal	0:2
13.02.16	Villarreal - Málaga	1:0
23.09.15	Málaga - Villarreal	0:1

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