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Current Win Probability
Villa San Carlos 33%
Draw 33.5%
Deportivo Armenio 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
32.2%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
31.8%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Deportivo Armenio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Armenio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bangardino P. (G) 9. Fabi S. 3. Flores S. 2. Lloyaiy A. 7. Lugones A. 4. Machin L. 10. Melillo E. 8. Mussis F. 6. Ojeda F. 5. Ponton A. 11. Zegarra Z.
1. Mugica J. (G) 2. Cardozo I. 6. Echeverria J. 9. Figueroa G. 14. Gomez C. 11. Herrera Jonathan N. 8. Lagomarsino S. 3. Mosca N. 10. Ramos L. 7. Suanez T. 5. Tello F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Barrionuevo D. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Salinas R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', Lagomarsino S. ↓, Chocobar V. ↑,
63', Plastino M. ↓, Fabi S. ↑,
63', Farias F. ↓, Pavia K. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Lugones A. ⚽,
69', Salinas R. ↓, Zegarra Z. ↑,
77', 🟨,
78', 3 - 1, Pavia K. ⚽,
80', Cairo F. ↓, Ponton A. ↑,
80', Lugones A. ↓, Guallama F. ↑,
82', 🟨,
86', 4 - 1, Zegarra Z. (Penalty Awarded),
90', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 2.
Villa San Carlos is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo Armenio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Villa San Carlos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.7:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Villa San Carlos won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.7:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Deportivo Armenio
38
17
9
12
42:38
4
60
13
Villa San Carlos
38
11
14
13
37:39
-2
47
Last Results with these Odds
Villa San Carlos - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.21%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Bangardino P. (G) 
Mugica J. (G) 
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