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Current Win Probability
Real Pilar 44%
Draw 32.9%
Deportivo Armenio 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
30.9%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
29.7%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Pilar's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Armenio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Pilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Real Pilar - Deportivo Armenio Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Real Pilar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Deportivo Armenio will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perafan P. (G)
6. Achucarro D.
10. Blanco S.
11. Crocco M. (C)
3. Franco E.
4. Leguiza D.
7. Martinez F.
2. Puch M.
9. Riquelme M. D.
5. Rojas M.
8. Vergara D.
Substitutes
13. Basualdo N.
17. Cesar J.
15. Chambi L.
16. Gonzalez D.
19. Gonzalez K.
18. Moran J.
20. Navarro A.
14. Pansardi F.
12. Sanchez S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Rojas M. 🟨,
10', Blanco S. 🟨,
10', Villalva L. 🟨,
22', Tello F. 🟨,
24', Mosca N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Lagomarsino S. ↓, Ortiz B. ↑,
54', Barrionuevo D. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Figueroa G. ⚽,
59', Blanco S. ↓, Chambi L. ↑,
59', Martinez F. ↓, Cesar J. ↑,
59', Crocco M. ↓, Moran J. ↑,
68', Vergara D. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
70', Figueroa G. ↓, Benitez N. ↑,
70', Suanez T. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
72', Herrera Jonathan N. 🟨,
77', Rojas M. ↓, Avalos N. ↑,
79', Leguiza D. 🟨,
88', Herrera Jonathan N. ↓, Marchesini F. ↑,
89', Chambi L. 🟨,
90+2', Barrionuevo D. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18).
Real Pilar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Deportivo Armenio is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportivo Armenio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Real Pilar could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Real Pilar will win today's game, with odds of 2.04.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Including home match between the teams, Real Pilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Real Pilar
38
17
10
11
42:38
4
61
8
Deportivo Armenio
38
17
9
12
42:38
4
60
Last Results with these Odds
Real Pilar - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 49.84%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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