Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 1

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira)


	Deportivo Cali		Boca Juniors de Cali

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.36	4.33	7
	1.39	4.3	6.8	Watch
	1.4	4.67	7.16
	1.4	4.64	7.36	Watch
	1.36	4.2	8
	1.4	4.46	7.74	Watch
	1.39	4.3	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.33)	4.43 ↓ (4.67)	7.3 ↓ (7.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cali
66.5%

Draw
20.9%

Boca Juniors de Cali
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

19.6%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

18.5%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Boca Juniors de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors de Cali than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Deportivo Cali - Boca Juniors de Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Boca Juniors (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Estupinan A. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Cabezas G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 2 - 1, Ortiz H. ⚽,

Preview

Deportivo Cali has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Boca Juniors is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo Cali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Deportivo Cali is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
25.05.25	Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Santa Fe	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Cali	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	América de Cali - Deportivo Cali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Boca Juniors de Cali
Colombian Primera B
18.05.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Barranquilla - Boca Juniors de Cali	0:0 ✺
05.05.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Atlético Cali	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Bogotá - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
22.04.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Orsomarso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWLL

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