Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Referee: Matorel L. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	América de Cali		Deportivo Cali

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	5.75	Watch
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.72	3.25	5.4	Watch
	1.72	3.45	5.92
	1.70	3.41	5.29	Watch
	1.65	3.4	5.5
	1.71	3.45	5.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.58)	3.38 ↓ (3.63)	5.46 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Cali
55.2%

Draw
27.7%

Deportivo Cali
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

25.8%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

25.1%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América de Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

América de Cali - Deportivo Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. América de Cali will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Cali (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Deportivo Cali (2.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Cali (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Graterol J. (G) 13. Castillo M. 4. Mosquera A. 24. Pestana J. 14. Mina D. 10. Carrascal R. (C) 21. Navarro S. 5. Escobar J. 17. Lucumi J. 36. Garces Y. 8. Borrero D.	38. Rodriguez A. (G) 27. Viafara F. 5. Varela J. 2. Aguilar F. 3. Correa A. 18. Hurtado A. (C) 13. Quintero Y. 28. Luis Orejuela 25. Colorado A. 19. Martinez J. 9. Mimbacas F.
Substitutes
35. Angulo K. 7. Barrios C. 88. Palacios T. 19. Paz L. 20. Ramos A. 15. Roa A. 12. Soto J. (G) 18. Tello A. 6. Tovar C.	8. Aponza J. 16. Corujo G. 1. Espindola M. (G) 11. Estupinan A. 30. Gordillo Y. 44. Graciano C. 10. Javier Reina 31. Moreno J. 39. Orozco M.
Coaches
Escobar A.	Gamero A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Colorado A. 🟨,
24', Mimbacas F. 🟨,
31', Navarro S. 🟨,
36', Castillo M. 🟨,
38', Luis Orejuela ↓, Estupinan A. ↑,
41', Navarro S. 🟨,
42', Escobar J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mimbacas F. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
46', Colorado A. ↓, Gordillo Y. ↑,
55', Garces Y. 🟨,
57', Garces Y. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
63', Martinez J. 🟨,
66', Moreno J. 🟨,
68', Lucumi J. ↓, Barrios C. ↑,
79', Martinez J. ↓, Javier Reina ↑,
79', Borrero D. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
80', Gordillo Y. 🟨,
88', Moreno J. ↓, Orozco M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 2.

Recent form of América de Cali has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportivo Cali has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

América de Cali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, América de Cali is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, América de Cali won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Cali
Colombian Copa
03.09.25	América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
31.08.25	Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali	1:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
27.08.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
24.08.25	América de Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.25	Fluminense - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLTL
- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
30.08.25	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín	1:3 ✺
25.08.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
13.08.25	Deportivo Cali - Unión Magdalena	3:1 ✺
08.08.25	Millonarios - Deportivo Cali	3:3 ✺
02.08.25	Deportivo Cali - Llaneros SA	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
27.04.25	América de Cali - Deportivo Cali	2:0
24.03.25	Deportivo Cali - América de Cali	1:1
03.11.24	América de Cali - Deportivo Cali	0:1
Colombian Copa
23.10.24	Deportivo Cali - América de Cali	0:0
17.10.24	América de Cali - Deportivo Cali	2:0
Colombian Primera A
12.04.24	Deportivo Cali - América de Cali	1:1
15.10.23	Deportivo Cali - América de Cali	0:0

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