Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Moncada A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Colombia	18:10	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South America	—	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America
Usa	19:10	Fanatiz


	Deportivo Cali		Deportes Tolima

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.88	3.1	Watch
	2.35	2.9	3
	2.5	2.85	3.25	Watch
	2.59	2.91	3.34
	2.55	2.71	3.29	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3.1
	2.48	2.85	3.17	Watch
	2.5	2.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.25)	2.86 ↓ (3.1)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cali
37.7%

Draw
32.9%

Deportes Tolima
29.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

29.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

30.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Rodriguez A. (G) 27. Viafara F. 3. Juan Quintero (C) 16. Corujo G. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 7. Barrera J. 30. Gordillo Y. 23. Colorado J. 8. Castillo F. 11. Estupinan A. 9. Rodriguez E.	22. Fiermarin C. (G) 26. Hurtado Torres Y. D. 17. Torres M. 4. Quinones J. 33. Velasquez S. 80. Rovira B. 15. Nieto J. (C) 18. Perez K. 42. Quinones J. 23. Castro A. 24. Parra Osorio A.
Substitutes
13. Angulo J. 46. Cabal J. 12. Caldera Alvis J. C. 22. Guruceaga G. (G) 10. Javier Reina 6. Mejia V. 31. Moreno J.	71. Arrieta C. 12. Azcarate J. (G) 7. Gonzalez J. 28. Miranda L. 19. Mosquera F. 3. Quinones J. 8. Valencia E.
Coaches
Arias A.	Rescalvo I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Corujo G. 🟨,
39', Perez K. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Barrera J. ⚽, Rodriguez E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Estupinan A. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
55', Castillo F. ↓, Javier Reina ↑,
65', Quinones J. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
82', Colorado J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
82', Velasquez S. 🟨,
83', Viafara F. ↓, Cabal J. ↑,
84', Gordillo Y. ↓, Mejia V. ↑,
86', Barrera J. 🟨,
87', Perez K. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
88', Nieto J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
90+2', Castro A. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
90+5', Quinones J. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cali won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.8:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
27.04.25	América de Cali - Deportivo Cali	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
15.04.25	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Cali	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Deportivo Cali - Rionegro Águilas	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLTW
- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
26.04.25	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo La Equidad	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Envigado - Deportes Tolima	3:1 ✺
15.04.25	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
07.09.24	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali	1:1
26.02.24	Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima	1:2
29.11.23	Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima	0:2
25.11.23	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali	4:2
11.10.23	Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima	2:0
26.02.23	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali	1:2
14.07.22	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali	2:0

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