Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira)

Referee: Mayorga Londono J. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Russia	Viju+ Sport
Usa	Fubo Latino 2


	Deportivo Cali		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	4.2	Watch
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.08	3.05	3.7	Watch
	2.06	3.14	4.12
	1.98	3.15	4.14	Watch
	2	2.9	3.9
	1.94	3.08	4.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.96)	3.06 ↓ (3.37)	3.96 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cali
45.9%

Draw
30.5%

Independiente Santa Fe
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Deportivo Cali - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Cali: 2.5% – 64.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallese P. (G) 28. Luis Orejuela 12. Caldera Alvis J. C. 4. Alvarez F. 2. Aguilar F. 3. Correa A. 6. Pajaro R. 39. Orozco M. 18. Hurtado A. (C) 19. Martinez J. 9. Dinenno J.	1. Mosquera A. (G) 4. Puerta M. 18. Olivera E. 3. Moreno V. 32. Mafla C. 16. Torres D. 7. Torres J. 14. Palacios L. 20. Velasquez Y. 8. Fernandez O. 11. Rodallega H.
Substitutes
17. Arango J. 5. Cuellar G. 33. Galindo J. 77. Montoya J. 21. Quinones J. 13. Quintero Y. 38. Rodriguez A. (G) 26. Tello J. 27. Viafara F.	12. Asprilla W. (G) 19. Bustos N. 2. Juan Quintero 17. Lovera M. 22. Mosquera E. 13. Palacios H. 40. Palacios M. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D.
Coaches
Gamero A.	Repetto P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Rodallega H. ⚽, Puerta M. (A),
33', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
45+2', Mafla C. 🟨,
45+8', Caldera Alvis J. C. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Luis Orejuela ↓, Viafara F. ↑,
49', Pajaro R. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Quinones J. ⚽, Correa A. (A),
60', Hurtado A. ↓, Arango J. ↑,
60', Pajaro R. ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
63', Torres J. ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
70', Palacios L. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
70', Puerta M. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
73', Cuellar G. 🟨,
78', Orozco M. ↓, Quintero Y. ↑,
85', Rodallega H. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
89', Moreno V. 🟨,
89', Aguilar F. 🟨,
90', Dinenno J. 🟨,
90+2', Olivera E. 🟨,
90+5', Torres D. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 0.

Deportivo Cali has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Santa Fe has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo Cali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Deportivo Cali might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cali won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dep. Cali	13	7	4	2	20:9	11	25
5	Santa Fe	12	6	4	2	19:12	7	22

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Santa Fe - the odds 3.67 are the expected chance of winning is 25.24%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
14.03.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Cali	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLTTW
- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
14.03.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	América de Cali - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
09.11.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali	1:0
17.05.25	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Santa Fe	0:2
20.08.24	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Santa Fe	1:3
13.02.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali	1:0
06.09.23	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Santa Fe	2:2
Colombian Copa
16.08.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali	2:0 penalties
27.07.23	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Santa Fe	2:1

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