Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 9

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday


	Deportivo Camioneros		Kimberley de Mar del Plata

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.87	3.9
	1.95	2.95	4
	1.94	2.97	3.73
				Watch
	1.92	3.05	4.03
	1.95	2.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.48)	2.96 ↑ (2.77)	3.93 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Camioneros
46.6%

Draw
30.5%

Kimberley de Mar del Plata
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

32.4%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

33.8%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Camioneros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Camioneros's performance.

Kimberley de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kimberley de Mar del Plata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Camioneros than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Camioneros that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kimberley de Mar del Plata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Camioneros - Kimberley de Mar del Plata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Giorno Paredes R. G. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Iehara U. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Giorno Paredes R. G. ⚽,
39', 3 - 1, Munoz E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 3 - 2, Bacigalupe S. (Pen),
54', 4 - 2, Huguenet I. ⚽,
60', 4 - 3, Ullua E. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Camioneros
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.09.24	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Camioneros	3:1 ✺
25.08.24	Deportivo Camioneros - Argentino Monte Maíz	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	Germinal - Deportivo Camioneros	2:0 ✺
11.08.24	Deportivo Camioneros - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Deportivo Camioneros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLTL
- CA Kimberley de Mar del Plata
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.09.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTWTT

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