The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santamarina de Tandil 33.3%
Draw 35.4%
Kimberley de Mar del Plata 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
31%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
31.7%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santamarina de Tandil's form might have worsened.
Kimberley de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santamarina de Tandil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Santamarina de Tandil - Kimberley de Mar del Plata Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moris U. (G) 4. Dominguez L. 7. Gomez J. 5. Igartua N. 8. Labaroni M. 6. Lucero I. 10. Marchiori T. 3. Perez F. 2. Romat N. 9. Romero T. 11. San Martin B.
1. Baez N. (G) 6. Aquino A. 9. Castillo S. 3. Di Molfetta M. 4. Loscalso T. 5. Miori M. 11. Russo F. 8. Tello L. 2. Vazquez A. 7. Vella L. 10. Zarate J.
Substitutes
16. Alvarenga L. 19. Canchi M. 17. Chavez T. 18. Di Carlo R. 20. Ijurco M. 14. Istillarte J. 15. Meza F. 12. Turnes I. (G) 13. Waldbillig L.
12. Aguayo D. (G) 16. Avalos V. 18. Chavez S. 15. De Gaetani A. 13. Fritzler J. 14. Hurcade J. 19. Leiva L. 20. Santillan J. 17. Zanelli E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Aquino A. 🟨,
31', Gomez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Dominguez L. ⚽,
69', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 0.
Santamarina is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kimberley is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Santamarina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Santamarina won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Watch
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Moris U. (G) 
Canchi M. 
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