ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 8
Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday
Villa Mitre
Deportivo Camioneros
1
X
2
1.38
3.9
7.5
1.38
4
8.5
1.36
3.75
8.34
1.34
4.05
9.7
1.38
4
8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.37 ↓ (1.43)
3.94 ↑ (3.85)
8.51 ↑ (7.52)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa Mitre 66.3%
Draw 23%
Deportivo Camioneros 10.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.1%
23.7%
12.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.1%
22.6%
11.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Deportivo Camioneros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Camioneros than the current prediction. (+1%)
Villa Mitre - Deportivo Camioneros Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Lopez M. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Lugarzo L. (Own goal),
42', 3 - 0, Gonzalez Gatica E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 3 - 1, Hertel L. (Own goal),
89', Pacchini J. 🟥,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa Mitre won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Deportivo Camioneros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Villa Mitre is indisputable favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Villa Mitre won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Villa Mitre won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.
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