Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 8

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Deportivo Capiatá		Guarani de Fram

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.5
	1.89	3.25	3.8
	1.9	3.28	3.62
	1.93	3.36	3.68	Watch
	2	3	3.75
	1.95	3.18	3.68
	1.89	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.71)	3.22 ↓ (3.55)	3.69 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Capiatá
47.1%

Draw
28.2%

Guarani de Fram
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25.6%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

24.8%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Capiatá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Capiatá's form might have worsened.

Guarani de Fram has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Capiatá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani de Fram than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Deportivo Capiatá - Guarani de Fram Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Bogado O. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Bogado O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
71', 🟥,
74', 2 - 1, Godoy D. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Ojeda H. (Pen),
90', 3 - 2, Delgado C. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de Primera (Apertura: ) and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Deportivo Capiatá is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Capiatá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
09.05.25	River Plate Asunción - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Rubio Ñu	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Pastoreo - Deportivo Capiatá	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Deportivo Santaní	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Tacuary - Deportivo Capiatá	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLLW
- Guarani de Fram
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
08.05.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guarani de Fram	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Guarani de Fram - River Plate Asunción	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Rubio Ñu - Guarani de Fram	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Guarani de Fram - Pastoreo	3:3 ✺
13.04.25	Deportivo Santaní - Guarani de Fram	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTTTT

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