Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 7

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Sportivo San Lorenzo		Guarani de Fram

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.3	5
	1.62	3.55	5
	1.64	3.74	5.8
	1.66	3.69	4.65	Watch
	1.73	3.1	5
	1.7	3.32	4.78
	1.62	3.55	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.96)	3.46 ↑ (3.04)	5.03 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo San Lorenzo
55.4%

Draw
26.4%

Guarani de Fram
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

29.9%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

30%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo San Lorenzo's performance.

Guarani de Fram has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guarani de Fram might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo San Lorenzo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani de Fram than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarani de Fram could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guarani de Fram Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Duarte J. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Medina C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Gonzalez P. 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 1, Mongelos A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sportivo San Lorenzo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - River Plate Asunción	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
14.04.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Rubio Ñu	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Sol de América - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTLT
- Guarani de Fram
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
02.05.25	Guarani de Fram - River Plate Asunción	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Rubio Ñu - Guarani de Fram	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Guarani de Fram - Pastoreo	3:3 ✺
13.04.25	Deportivo Santaní - Guarani de Fram	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Guarani de Fram - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTTTT

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