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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Capiatá 53.4%
Draw 24.7%
Tacuary 21.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.1%
23.8%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
23.2%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Capiatá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Tacuary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Deportivo Capiatá - Tacuary Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Benitez J. ⚽,
62', 2 - 0, Escurra J. ⚽,
84', 3 - 0, Acuna Garcia A. ⚽,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 11th and 15th).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Tacuary may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Deportivo Capiatá carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Capiatá has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:1 (averaging 1.3:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Capiatá against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Dep. Capiata
30
9
11
10
39:39
0
38
15
Tacuary
30
5
12
13
35:52
-17
27
Last Results with these Odds
Tacuary - the odds 4.04 are the expected chance of winning is 23.02%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.