Match Info

GUATEMALA: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Deportivo Coatepeque		Municipal

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.63	Watch
	4.93	3.6	1.71
	4.94	3.49	1.71
	5.5	3.7	1.55
	5.22	3.71	1.61	Watch
	5	3.65	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (3.73)	3.63 ↓ (3.66)	1.64 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Coatepeque
18.2%

Draw
25.4%

Municipal
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

25.3%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

25.2%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Coatepeque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Coatepeque's form might have worsened.

Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Municipal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Coatepeque than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Coatepeque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Municipal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Coatepeque - Municipal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Aguilar M. 8. Alvarado C. 5. Antunez F. 24. Barrios F. 19. Betancourt S. 14. Diaz W. 99. Lopez Galindo F. D. 16. Mira E. 17. Ochaeta D. 33. Vasquez T. 10. Zamorano A.	23. Medina A. (G) 2. Barrera Ovando R. I. 26. Barrientos R. 4. Farina E. 18. Franco J. 13. Galindo A. 6. Jimenez C. 9. Martinez J. 16. Morales J. 10. Rotondi M. 14. Torres D.
Substitutes
4. Argueta J. . Lopez A. 25. Luna R. . Ordonez D. . Paxtor R. 23. Perez L. . Rodas B. 6. Valeriano O.	8. Altan P. 20. Archila C. 31. Calderon C. 5. Dominguez-Ramirez M. 3. Mena J. 28. Montano Cardenas F. A. 12. Navarro K. (G) 19. Rocca R. 32. Sequen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
12', Betancourt S. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Rotondi M. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Martinez J. ⚽,
24', Antunez F. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
36', 0 - 3, Martinez J. ⚽,
45', 0 - 4, Franco J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Farina E. ↓, Archila C. ↑,
46', Barrientos R. ↓, Dominguez-Ramirez M. ↑,
55', Franco J. ↓, Sequen M. ↑,
55', Galindo A. ↓, Altan P. ↑,
60', Rotondi M. ↓, Rocca R. ↑,
74', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Coatepeque
Guatemala Liga Nacional
13.04.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Deportivo Coatepeque	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Deportivo Coatepeque - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
28.03.24	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Coatepeque	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Deportivo Coatepeque - Deportivo Mixco	2:1 ✺
15.03.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Coatepeque	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWTWL
- CSD Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional
17.04.24	Comunicaciones - Municipal	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Municipal - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:0 ✺
10.04.24	Municipal - Malacateco	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Xelajú - Municipal	0:2 ✺
28.03.24	Municipal - Cobán Imperial	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
26.11.23	Municipal - Deportivo Coatepeque	3:0
22.03.15	Municipal - Deportivo Coatepeque	3:0
25.01.15	Deportivo Coatepeque - Municipal	0:1
16.11.14	Deportivo Coatepeque - Municipal	0:1
21.09.14	Municipal - Deportivo Coatepeque	6:0
06.04.14	Deportivo Coatepeque - Municipal	1:2
12.02.14	Municipal - Deportivo Coatepeque	2:0

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