Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 12

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Deportivo Coatepeque		Deportivo Mixco

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.9	2.5
	2.7	3	2.55	Watch
	2.88	2.96	2.54
	2.88	2.96	2.54
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.72	3.05	2.43	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.94)	2.97 ↓ (3.2)	2.52 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Coatepeque
33.3%

Draw
30.6%

Deportivo Mixco
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

28.3%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

27.8%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Coatepeque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Deportivo Mixco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Coatepeque than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Mixco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Coatepeque - Deportivo Mixco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cruz V. (G) 21. Alvarado J. 5. Antunez F. 15. Avalos V. 14. Diaz W. 22. Guerra J. 20. Lang D. 99. Lopez Galindo F. D. 16. Mira E. 17. Ochaeta D. 10. Zamorano A.	30. Moscoso K. (G) 24. Gonzalez O. 61. Lemus K. 12. Marquez J. 15. Marroquin R. 3. Moreno M. 27. Peralta L. 11. Pozuelos Y. 6. Sotomayor J. 16. Urizar J. 37. Yanes A.
Substitutes
8. Alvarado C. 4. Argueta J. 24. Barrios F. 11. Diaz I. 30. Guzman A. (G) 25. Luna R. 77. Palma J. 23. Perez L. 98. Tatuaca Garcia L. D.	10. Arce G. 18. Gonzalez D. 25. Hernandez M. 5. Mendez D. 22. Moreira M. 23. Padilla M. (G) 31. Palma J. 19. Pastor J. 21. Rosas L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Lang D. ⚽,
41', Sotomayor J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lemus K. ↓, Arce G. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Avalos V. ⚽,
62', Yanes A. ↓, Rosas L. ↑,
62', Peralta L. ↓, Moreira M. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Diaz W. (Own goal),
72', Lang D. ↓, Palma J. ↑,
72', Lang D. ↓, Palma J. ↑,
84', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', Rosas L. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Coatepeque is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Deportivo Mixco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Coatepeque could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coatepeque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Coatepeque
Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.03.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Coatepeque	4:0 ✺
13.03.24	Deportivo Coatepeque - Comunicaciones	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Deportivo Coatepeque - Xelajú	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Coatepeque	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Deportivo Coatepeque - Malacateco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL
- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
16.03.24	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Deportivo Mixco - Municipal	3:1 ✺
28.02.24	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:1 ✺
21.02.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.11.23	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Coatepeque	3:0

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