The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Cuenca 40.4%
Draw 30.2%
Técnico Universitario 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.2%
27.7%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.7%
26.9%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Cuenca's form might have worsened.
Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Técnico Universitario's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Cuenca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Técnico Universitario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
1. Ferrero F. (G) 28. Boolsen P. 23. Guevara E. (C) 6. Postel S. 21. Morocho S. 8. Vega E. 30. Maccari M. 37. Arboleda C. 49. Gonzalez D. 29. Klimowicz M. 9. Leguizamon N.
1. Razzeto S. (G) 5. Cagua M. 13. Anaya J. 85. Arce Y. 28. Perea M. 70. Castano M. 33. Majao J. 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 10. Johan Bocanegra 17. Montes J. 7. Estupinan L. (C)
Substitutes
14. Chacon J. 19. Diaz M. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 20. Garcia B. 25. Lopez A. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 2. Mosquera I. 43. Ordonez J. 50. Siguenza M.
30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 16. Caicedo J. 90. Caicedo W. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 8. Chaves M. 27. Copete A. 25. Delgado B. 9. Fernandez L. 6. Torres Nazareno L. B.
Coaches
Celico J.
Usucar F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Klimowicz M. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
27', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Anaya J. ⚽, Castano M. (A),
36', Morocho S. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
42', Johan Bocanegra 🟨,
45+2', Majao J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gonzalez D. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
46', Vega E. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
46', Klimowicz M. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
46', Guevara E. ↓, Mosquera I. ↑,
67', Perea M. 🟥,
72', 2 - 1, Ordonez J. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Montes J. ↓, Caicedo W. ↑,
79', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
84', Majao J. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
84', Estupinan L. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
85', Maccari M. 🟨,
89', Mesa Mercado E. E. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Deportivo Cuenca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Deportivo Cuenca has had a series of away games.
Deportivo Cuenca could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).
Ecuador
Peru
Watch
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Ferrero F. (G) 
Guevara E. (C) 
Anaya J. 
Chaves M. 
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