Match Info

Liga Pro - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Ecuador	15:30	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	15:30	Zapping Sports


	Deportivo Cuenca		Técnico Universitario

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.20	4.20	Watch
	1.80	3.20	3.90
	1.81	3.40	4.50	Watch
	1.93	3.26	4.44
	1.89	3.31	4.29	Watch
	1.90	3.20	4.35
	1.88	3.28	4.30	Watch
	1.85	3.20	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.83)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	4.26 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
49.9%

Draw
28.4%

Técnico Universitario
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.2%

27.5%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

29.7%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Cuenca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G) 23. Guevara E. 28. Boolsen P. 6. Postel S. 37. Arboleda C. 30. Maccari M. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 16. Mejia J. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 19. Diaz M. 29. Klimowicz M.	1. Razzeto S. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 5. Mena S. 13. Anaya J. 85. Arce Y. 25. Delgado B. 70. Castano M. 33. Majao J. 10. Johan Bocanegra 8. Armas D. (C) 90. Caicedo W.
Substitutes
88. Benalcazar C. 14. Chacon J. 20. Garcia B. 49. Gonzalez D. 25. Lopez A. 12. Minda E. (G) 2. Mosquera I. 3. Nardelli G. 43. Ordonez J. 18. Piedra M. 11. Rivero G. 8. Vega E.	30. Arce K. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 15. Castillo F. 29. Cela A. 53. Chilla R. 79. Cuero Q. C. A. 7. Estupinan L. 9. Guardia H. 12. Morales A. (G)
Coaches
Yllana A.	Blanco I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Mesa Mercado E. E. (Own goal),
20', Majao J. 🟨,
31', Diaz M. 🟨,
33', Armas D. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Caicedo W. ⚽, Johan Bocanegra (A),
45', Arboleda C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Guevara E. ↓, Nardelli G. ↑,
61', Mejia J. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
66', Caicedo W. ↓, Guardia H. ↑,
73', Delgado B. ↓, Cela A. ↑,
73', Castano M. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
75', Diaz M. ↓, Vega E. ↑,
75', Klimowicz M. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
75', Mancinelli L. ↓, Benalcazar C. ↑,
79', Majao J. ↓, Arce K. ↑,
79', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Estupinan L. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Benalcazar C. ⚽,
90+5', Mena S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 3.

In recent outings, Deportivo Cuenca has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Técnico Univ is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Deportivo Cuenca carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cuenca has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:27 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Cuenca against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:12 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.10.26	Orense - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Libertad Loja	0:1 ✺
02.09.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTTLW
- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.10.26	Manta - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Técnico Universitario - Delfín	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Leones del Norte - Técnico Universitario	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
01.09.26	Delfín - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.08.26	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca	3:1
02.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	2:1
14.09.25	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca	0:2
16.05.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	2:0
05.10.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	1:1
17.04.24	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1
28.08.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	1:1

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