Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 30

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	LDU Quito		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.1	4.5	Watch
	1.58	3.70	4.75
	1.6	3.75	4.7	Watch
	1.67	3.93	5.03
	1.63	3.98	4.98	Watch
	1.63	3.8	4.9
	1.64	3.84	5.03	Watch
	1.6	3.8	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.48)	3.86 ↓ (4.01)	4.82 ↓ (6.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
57%

Draw
23.9%

Deportivo Cuenca
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

23.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

22.3%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that LDU Quito's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for LDU Quito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Dominguez A. (C) 26. Zambrano I. 3. Mina R. 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 33. Quinonez L. 31. Rodriguez J. 5. Gonzalez Baquero S. 77. Velasco K. 10. Alvarado A. 67. Carabali J. 16. Deyverson	1. Ferrero F. (G) 23. Guevara E. 28. Boolsen P. 6. Postel S. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 8. Vega E. (C) 19. Diaz M. 14. Chacon J. 49. Gonzalez D. 37. Arboleda C. 29. Klimowicz M.
Substitutes
4. Ade R. 20. Cornejo F. 13. Corozo J. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 11. Estrada M. 27. Mina R. 8. Pretell J. 23. Quinonez Y. 7. Rodriguez L. 44. Segovia L. 1. Valle G. (G) 57. Weigandt M.	88. Benalcazar C. 20. Garcia B. 10. Ibarra R. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 2. Mosquera I. 3. Nardelli G. 5. Noboa D. 18. Piedra M.
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Neculman D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Boolsen P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Deyverson (Penalty Awarded),
56', Klimowicz M. ↓, Benalcazar C. ↑,
57', Velasco K. ↓, Mina R. ↑,
70', Mina R. 🟨,
70', Gonzalez Baquero S. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
70', Alvarado A. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
70', Mina R. ↓, Pretell J. ↑,
72', Diaz M. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Guevara E. ⚽, Arboleda C. (A),
84', Arboleda C. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
85', Rodriguez J. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,

Preview

LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Deportivo Cuenca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, LDU Quito is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 9 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:20. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:9. (average 2.5:0.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Last Results with these Odds

LDU Quito - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.32%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Copa Libertadores
09.09.26	Palmeiras - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.09.26	Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
01.09.26	LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Guayaquil City - LDU Quito	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
26.08.26	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWTLW
- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.09.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Libertad Loja	0:1 ✺
02.09.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Orense - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito	1:1
Ecuadorian Copa
12.11.25	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.07.25	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	2:2
29.03.25	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito	1:2
01.12.24	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	5:0
Ecuadorian Copa
28.08.24	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.06.24	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito	2:2

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