Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 28

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Araujo G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Delfín		Técnico Universitario

	1	X	2
	1.96	3	4.1	Watch
	1.90	3.00	3.75
	1.98	2.95	3.9	Watch
	2.03	3.22	4.16
	1.96	3.16	4.22	Watch
	2.01	3.1	4.1
	2.06	3.02	3.93	Watch
	1.98	3	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.23)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	4 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delfín
46.6%

Draw
30.3%

Técnico Universitario
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Delfín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Técnico Universitario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Delfín - Técnico Universitario Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Delfín (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Heras B. (G) 17. Rubio E. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 5. Medina O. 14. Zuniga E. 34. Heredia G. 18. Morocho J. 80. Pena B. 10. Luna D. 31. Arce J. 9. Ayunta F.	12. Morales A. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 4. Cordova 13. Anaya J. 85. Arce Y. 10. Johan Bocanegra 70. Castano M. 29. Cela A. 7. Estupinan L. 8. Armas D. (C) 25. Delgado B.
Substitutes
3. Aimar D. 51. Banguero C. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 16. Castro L. 33. Cisneros Montenegro A. A. 23. Cornejo L. 77. Hernandez B. 8. Moreno K. 50. Ozaeta T. 11. Perinciolo F. 78. Ushina K. 27. Yepez E.	30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 90. Caicedo W. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 15. Castillo F. 53. Chilla R. 77. Garcia C. 5. Mena S. 1. Razzeto S. (G) 6. Torres Nazareno L. B.
Coaches
Leon J.	Blanco I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Cordova 🟨,
35', Heredia G. 🟨,
45', Anaya J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Bedoya A. ⚽, Luna D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Ayunta F. 🟨,
52', Morocho J. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
62', Arce J. ↓, Ozaeta T. ↑,
62', Luna D. ↓, Cornejo L. ↑,
63', Armas D. 🟨,
69', Cordova 🟥,
73', Ozaeta T. 🟨,
73', Castro L. 🟨,
74', Estupinan L. ↓, Chilla R. ↑,
74', Cela A. ↓, Carrasco Bonilla M. A. ↑,
78', Bedoya A. 🟨,
85', Ayunta F. ↓, Yepez E. ↑,
85', Pena B. ↓, Ushina K. ↑,
88', Castano M. ↓, Arce K. ↑,
88', Arce Y. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
90+1', Ushina K. 🟨,
90+4', Armas D. ↓, Caicedo W. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Técnico Univ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Delfín is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Técnico Universitario - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.48%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.08.26	Mushuc Runa - Delfín	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Delfín - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
20.08.26	Juventud Italiana - Delfín	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.08.26	Independiente del Valle - Delfín	3:2 ✺
09.08.26	Delfín - Orense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLT
- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.08.26	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Técnico Universitario - Guayaquil City	2:3 ✺
16.08.26	Emelec - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.05.26	Técnico Universitario - Delfín	4:0
20.09.25	Delfín - Técnico Universitario	0:1
25.05.25	Técnico Universitario - Delfín	1:2
19.08.24	Técnico Universitario - Delfín	0:1
17.03.24	Delfín - Técnico Universitario	2:0
03.12.23	Delfín - Técnico Universitario	2:2
19.06.23	Técnico Universitario - Delfín	3:0

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