Match Info

Primera C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Deportivo Español		Estrella del Sur

	1	X	2
	2	2.67	4.29
	2.04	2.49	5.17	Watch
	1.99	2.86	4.59
	2	2.9	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.6)	2.73 ↓ (2.9)	4.46 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Español
45.8%

Draw
33.7%

Estrella del Sur
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

31.9%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

31.7%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Español's performance.

Estrella del Sur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estrella del Sur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Español that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrella del Sur than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estrella del Sur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Español - Estrella del Sur Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Martinez E. H. 🟥,
84', 1 - 0, Narejko T. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Deportivo Español could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Español
Argentinian Primera C
09.09.25	Atlético Claypole - Deportivo Español	0:0 ✺
02.09.25	Deportivo Español - Deportivo Muñiz	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Justo José de Urquiza - Deportivo Español	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Deportivo Español - El Porvenir	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Deportivo Español	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLLT
- Estrella del Sur de Alejandro Korn
Argentinian Primera C
15.09.25	Estrella del Sur - Centro Español	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	General Lamadrid - Estrella del Sur	3:2 ✺
02.09.25	Deportivo Paraguayo - Estrella del Sur	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Estrella del Sur - Sportivo Barracas	1:3 ✺
18.08.25	Central Ballester - Estrella del Sur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWLW

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