The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
General Lamadrid 34.4%
Draw 33.6%
Estrella del Sur 31.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.6%
31%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
31.3%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
General Lamadrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that General Lamadrid's form might have worsened.
Estrella del Sur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Lamadrid than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for General Lamadrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrella del Sur than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
General Lamadrid - Estrella del Sur Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Madariaga E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Eseiza J. ⚽,
68', Zadel D. 🟥,
Preview
First leg.
In recent outings, General Lamadrid has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Estrella del Sur is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, General Lamadrid has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for General Lamadrid against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals.
Last Results with these Odds
General Lamadrid - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 39.59%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.