Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 36

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Carlos V (Jauregui)

Referee: Novelli L. (Arg)


	Deportivo Flandria		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.35	3.1	3	Watch
	2.43	2.98	3.36
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.33	3.16	3.16
	2.32	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.35)	3.09 ↓ (3.12)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Flandria
40%

Draw
30.2%

Guillermo Brown
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

30.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Flandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	54.5%	9.1%

Deportivo Flandria - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Flandria will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan M. (G) 4. Broggi C. 2. Gomez F. 6. Raggio E. 3. Murillo F. 8. Gonzalez A. E. 5. Nalerio A. 7. Rivadero M. 10. Melivilo F. 9. Comachi M. 11. Tisera F.	1. Ramirez R. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Olivera W. 6. Tecilla N. 3. Velasquez S. 8. Luayza M. 5. Romero E. 10. Gonzalez A. 7. Assennato T. 9. Pino M. 11. Fernandez M.
Substitutes
13. Arrechea N. 14. Correa J. 19. Fernandez M. 18. Ford J. 20. Gagliardi A. 15. Maimo A. 12. Ramos D. 17. Seimandi L. 16. Torres J.	18. Alvarez B. 17. Barrios E. 13. Fleita J. 16. Garcia E. 12. Garcia R. (G) 20. Rodriguez J. 14. Valor M. 19. Viera Gaston 15. Werro V.
Coaches
Diaz W.	Lemos L.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Flandria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guillermo Brown is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flandria will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flandria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Flandria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.09.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Deportivo Flandria	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Deportivo Flandria - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	San Telmo - Deportivo Flandria	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Deportivo Flandria - Temperley	2:3 ✺
26.08.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.09.23	Guillermo Brown - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Defensores Unidos - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Guillermo Brown - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Club Almagro - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Guillermo Brown - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.05.23	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Flandria	3:1
06.03.22	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Flandria	1:0
08.10.17	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Flandria	3:0
23.05.17	Deportivo Flandria - Guillermo Brown	0:0
11.09.16	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Flandria	0:1

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