Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 34

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)


	Defensores Unidos		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.6
	2.1	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3	3.88
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.09	3.2	3.75
	2.15	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.15)	3.11 ↑ (2.92)	3.62 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
43.9%

Draw
30.2%

Guillermo Brown
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

31.5%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

31.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	70%	30%

Defensores Unidos - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Laumann F. 13. Zadel D. 14. Suarez L. 8. Gomez B. 15. Desposito P. 11. Nunez D. 10. Suarez J. 9. Velazquez J. 7. Lonardi F.	1. Ramirez R. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Olivera W. 6. Tecilla N. 3. Velasquez S. 7. Assennato T. 5. Romero E. 8. Luayza M. 10. Gonzalez A. 11. Fernandez M. 9. Pino M.
Coaches
Davio S.	Lemos L.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 17).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Defensores Unidos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Defensores Unidos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Defensores Unidos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.09.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Defensores Unidos - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	San Telmo - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
21.08.23	Defensores Unidos - Temperley	1:1 ✺
16.08.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTTL
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.09.23	Guillermo Brown - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Club Almagro - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Guillermo Brown - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	Temperley - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Guillermo Brown - San Martín de Tucumán	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.05.23	Guillermo Brown - Defensores Unidos	3:0

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