Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 30

Date: 20 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Abdala W. (Arg)


	Guillermo Brown		San Telmo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.33
	1.87	3.2	4
	1.9	3.25	4.15
	1.91	3.27	4.59
	1.88	3.1	4
	1.88	3.3	4.5
	1.88	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.01)	3.25 ↑ (3.03)	4.25 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
49.5%

Draw
28.6%

San Telmo
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

30.4%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

30%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guillermo Brown - San Telmo Predictions

Users Predictions: Guillermo Brown will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramirez R. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Olivera W. 6. Tecilla N. 3. Velasquez S. 7. Assennato T. 5. Luayza M. 8. Werro V. 10. Gonzalez A. 11. Fernandez M. 9. Pino M.	1. Atamanuk C. (G) 4. Gonzalez H. 2. Amaya A. 6. Ceceri K. 3. Diaz E. 8. Stancato A. 5. Requena J. 11. Luna R. 10. D'Angelo E. 7. Gonzalez R. 9. Bodencer E.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez B. 15. Barrios E. 13. Fleita J. 16. Garcia E. 12. Garcia R. (G) 14. Mazzaco J. 17. Navarro G. 20. Rodriguez J. 19. Viera Gaston	20. Fernandez A. 16. Laborda L. 13. Pollacchi L. 19. Ramirez R. 17. Rueda E. 14. Sandona A. 15. Toledo D. 18. Villarruel G. 12. Yacaruso G. (G)
Coaches
Lemos L.	Bianco J.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Guillermo Brown is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Telmo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Telmo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guillermo Brown is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Guillermo Brown won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.08.23	Temperley - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Guillermo Brown - San Martín de Tucumán	3:0 ✺
29.07.23	Nueva Chicago - Guillermo Brown	3:2 ✺
22.07.23	Guillermo Brown - All Boys	2:1 ✺
16.07.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLWL
- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.08.23	San Telmo - Agropecuario Argentino	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Club Almagro - San Telmo	2:0 ✺
22.07.23	San Telmo - Temperley	0:0 ✺
14.07.23	San Martín de Tucumán - San Telmo	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	San Telmo - Nueva Chicago	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.04.23	San Telmo - Guillermo Brown	1:2
04.09.22	San Telmo - Guillermo Brown	4:1
15.08.21	San Telmo - Guillermo Brown	1:2
04.04.21	Guillermo Brown - San Telmo	1:2

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