The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo La Guaira 49.5%
Draw 26.8%
Angostura 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.5%
26.5%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
25%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Guaira's form might have worsened.
Angostura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Angostura's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Guaira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angostura than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Angostura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
11.1%
33.3%
Deportivo La Guaira - Angostura Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Angostura will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo La Guaira: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:5
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Varela C. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 4. Custodio A. 3. Malagon J. 30. Peralta R. 20. Gutierrez J. 21. Lamadrid K. 13. Ibarra R. 22. Castellanos J. 17. Meza J. 27. Farias E.
24. Gallo M. (G) 18. Lovera J. 13. Matos A. 4. Montanez A. 16. Silgado J. 31. Gomez J. 28. Pacheco J. 7. Rondon J. 10. Contreras A. 80. Gomez C. 9. Velasco A.
Substitutes
10. Arace R. 7. Arias J. 9. Castillo S. 11. Chacon R. 14. Hernandez A. 1. Lima E. (G) 16. Martinez L. 63. Molina G. 26. Osorio Y. 24. Perdomo J. 29. Poncet G. 55. Valencia D.
8. Cardozo A. 90. Castillo J. 17. Farreras A. 2. Graterol J. 1. Lopez V. (G) 11. Maza R. 5. Pereira E. 79. Roca C. 3. Saab K. 26. Zamora T. 32. Zappacosta J.
Coaches
Tolisano J.
Castillo O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Castellanos J. ⚽, Farias E. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Gutierrez J. ⚽, Farias E. (A),
32', 3 - 0, Lamadrid K. ⚽, Gutierrez J. (A),
45+1', 3 - 1, Varela C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gomez J. ↓, Pereira E. ↑,
58', Castellanos J. ↓, Perdomo J. ↑,
59', Meza J. ↓, Castillo S. ↑,
69', Ibarra R. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
71', Velasco A. ↓, Maza R. ↑,
71', Rondon J. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
71', Gomez C. ↓, Cardozo A. ↑,
80', Contreras A. 🟨,
81', Lamadrid K. ↓, Arace R. ↑,
81', Farias E. ↓, Poncet G. ↑,
81', Pacheco J. ↓, Zappacosta J. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Contreras A. ⚽, Pereira E. (A),
90', Castillo J. 🟥,
Preview
Deportivo La Guaira is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Angostura is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Deportivo La Guaira is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Deportivo La Guaira won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo La Guaira won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Watch
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Varela C. (G) 
Custodio A. 
Malagon J. 
Peralta R. 
Poncet G. 
Zappacosta J. 
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