Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Futbol de Lara (Barquisimeto)

Referee: Velasquez A. (Ven)


	Deportivo Lara		Portuguesa Acarígua

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.15	3.05	3
	2.07	3.2	3.2
	2.01	3.19	3.32
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.1	3.25	3.36
	2.07	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.63)	3.14 ↑ (3.05)	3.23 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Lara
43.3%

Draw
28.7%

Portuguesa Acarígua
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.9%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Lara's performance.

Portuguesa Acarígua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa Acarígua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Lara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portuguesa Acarígua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Deportivo Lara - Portuguesa Acarígua Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Portuguesa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Deportivo Lara will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Lara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.10.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara	3:1 ✺
02.10.22	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo Táchira	0:2 ✺
18.09.22	Deportivo Lara - Zulia	3:0 ✺
13.09.22	Caracas - Deportivo Lara	1:2 ✺
09.09.22	Deportivo Lara - Mineros de Guayana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWL
- Portuguesa Acarígua
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.10.22	Deportivo Táchira - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:1 ✺
14.09.22	Mineros de Guayana - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:2 ✺
10.09.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Monagas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
12.08.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Deportivo Lara	0:0
08.04.22	Deportivo Lara - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:0

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